In the latest Wall Street Journal, Rick Perry offers his tax proposal. It is an embarrassment. Though there is more to Perry’s op-ed, I’ll limit my discussion (for now) to his reform of the personal income tax:
The plan starts with giving Americans a choice between a new, flat tax rate of 20% or their current income tax rate. The new flat tax preserves mortgage interest, charitable and state and local tax exemptions for families earning less than $500,000 annually, and it increases the standard deduction to $12,500 for individuals and dependents.
This simple 20% flat tax will allow Americans to file their taxes on a postcard, saving up to $483 billion in compliance costs. By eliminating the dozens of carve-outs that make the current code so incomprehensible, we will renew incentives for entrepreneurial risk-taking and investment that creates jobs, inspires Americans to work hard and forms the foundation of a strong economy. My plan also abolishes the death tax once and for all, providing needed certainty to American family farms and small businesses.
The claim regarding compliance costs is absurd, as Americans will presumably have to determine their tax liability under the current tax code and under Rick Perry’s new “flat” tax code. Unlike the Hall-Rabushka flat tax, it arbitrarily preserves various exemptions and deductions for households earning less than $500,000.
Basically, everyone who pays less under the current tax code will choose Door No. 1 and everyone who would pay less under Rick Perry’s new alternative tax code will choose Door No. 2. Rick Perry’s proposal is not a flat tax. Rather, it is an alternative maximum tax or MAXTAX.
Back in 1996, Stephen Moore, now a member of the Wall Street Journal editorial board, proposed a MAXTAX. Moore’s proposal was in every respect more attractive than Perry’s:
The feature that is missing from the flat tax is the right to choose. If some Americans don’t want to give up the current system, why force them to? Why not allow every taxpayer to choose between the current income tax system or an alternative post maximum tax (MAXTAX) with a flat rate of 25 percent of gross income that could be filled out on a postcard return? Only one deduction would be permitted under the MAXTAX: a credit for the payroll tax paid–7.65 percent for a salaried worker and 15.3 percent for a self-employed worker.
See that? Moore eliminated virtually all exemptions and deductions, leaving only a credit for payroll tax paid. And on top of that, his rate is considerably higher than Perry’s. Moreover, Moore doesn’t pretend that a MAXTAX would eliminate compliance costs. He only claims that it might lower than considerably, perhaps in acknowledgment of the fact that most households would have to compute their liability under both codes.
Essentially, what Perry has done is reverse the Buffett Rule. He has guaranteed that no American will ever pay more than 20 percent of her income in federal taxes. Indeed, affluent homeowners living in high-tax jurisdictions like New York city and Los Angeles earning up $499,000 will likely pay much less than that, as they’ll continue to have access to the mortgage interest, charitable and state and local tax exemptions. Under Moore’s MAXTAX, these households would be treated the same as affluent households in Houston or Palm Beach or Clinton, Iowa who for whatever reason (good sense?) choose to purchase less expensive homes.
This plan defies credulity. One is reminded of Tim Pawlenty’s tax and spending proposals, released shortly before he dropped out of the race for the Republican presidential nomination. The difference is that Perry has managed to raise a considerable sum of money. One wonders how much of it comes from various friends and allies who have been beneficiaries of the Texas Emerging Technology Fund, and whether the Obama campaign might see fit to mention that fact if Perry does indeed secure the Republican presidential nomination.
P.S. Some of our readers apparently believe that it is right and appropriate that affluent Manhattanites pay less in federal income taxes than affluent Houstonians earning the same amount of money in any given year. I respectfully disagree. In my view, there is no bedrock conservative principle that states that high-tax states should be rewarded for maintaining a high tax burden, particularly since this tends to facilitate the extraction of rents from immobile taxpayers.
"This plan defies credulity."
There's your bumper sticker for the Republicans in 2012.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse"This man defies credulity."
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThere's your bumper sticker for the Democrats in 2012.
"He has guaranteed that no American will ever pay more than 20 percent of her income in federal taxes."
This is bad why?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf your only goal is giant tax cuts for millionaires and giant tax hikes on the poor and middle class then there's nothing wrong with this plan. But like the Paul Ryan tax plan it seems to me Rick Perry's idea is to raise taxes on 90% of Americans while reducing overall tax revenue. How is that supposed to fix the economy?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWhere is the "giant tax hike on the poor and middle class" in this paln? some conservatives are complaining that it doesn't raise taxes on the poor?
Anyway, my question was not about rich vs. poor, but about why, as a matter of principle, any American should pay more than 20% of their income to the Federal government, even if some pay less.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseSo the plan assures that no American pays more than 20% max tax. This is the most pro-growth proposal out there! I can't see Mr. Salam's point--As long as spending is brought under control.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseOne thing's for certain: the plan is so confusing that Perry will get a lot of attention for it.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseReihan,
You're going to lose your Magic Conservative Decoder Ring for ripping Perry's nirvana tax plan. A flat tax that punishes the poor. The elimination of the death tax. Cuts on investment-related taxes. A cap on federal spending.
This is a Conservative Wet Dream, son.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI like Perry's plan. It will save my family money and simplify tax time greatly.
But of course, we're just a working class family in a fly-over state.My hubby lost his job of 30 years, found another that pays 33% less.
I suppose we sorts are just stupid to be pleased with the option to file on a post-card, right? We just don't understand, no doubt.
But we still get to vote. ;)
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI like Perry's plan. It will save my family money and simplify tax time greatly.
But of course, we're just a working class family in a fly-over state.My hubby lost his job of 30 years, found another that pays 33% less.
I suppose we sorts are just stupid to be pleased with the option to file on a post-card, right? We just don't understand, no doubt.
But we still get to vote. ;)
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseRick Perry's plan is an embarrassment because it limits federal personal income tax to 20%? Really? When I read National Review now, I get the same feeling as when I'm working through yet another Thomas Friedman or David Brooks piece.
Let us all get in line like good Republicans and support Romney. I refer Mr. Salam to George Will's latest column. I'm sure Romney will run a credible, gentlemanly campaign, and get points from Brooks on his perfectly delivered, magnanimous concession speech.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAnd he has had a few years to work on the crease of his pants.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseQ- When is a "flat tax" not a "flat tax"? A- When it is full of exceptions, exemptions, deductions, ceilings, and other extraneous rules and loopholes.
It is insane to tax what we contribute to the economy - Production, Work, Investment.
The only sane approach is to tax what we take out of the economy - Consumption.
But that is not politically expedient.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAn embarrasment? Defies credulity? Why? Apparently the answers are so obvious to the author that they need not be committed to print. Is it because no one would ever pay more than 20% in income tax? God help us! Is this really the state of American conservatism?
And by the way, I think your PC knickers are showing in the following sentence: "He has guaranteed that no American will ever pay more than 20 percent of her income in federal taxes." Some people might argue that SHE has more right to the fruit of her labor than the Federal leviathan.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAn embarrasment? Defies credulity? Why? Apparently the answers are so obvious to the author that they need not be committed to print. Is it because no one would ever pay more than 20% in income tax? God help us! Is this really the state of American conservatism?
And by the way, I think your PC knickers are showing in the following sentence: "He has guaranteed that no American will ever pay more than 20 percent of her income in federal taxes." Some people might argue that SHE has more right to the fruit of her labor than the Federal leviathan.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWow! Such anger. It sort of makes me suspect there is something more going on here than a policy critique. Did he shoot your dog or something?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe quibbles that Mr. Salam raises (which I share, along with some others) don't seem to justify the "embarassment" label. It's far better than Romney's timid, class-baiting proposals, and is more workable than 9-9-9. Wouldn't something like, "it's a bold step in the right direction, but could be made even better by doing X, Y, and Z," be nearer the mark, and more constructive?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseEven apart from the necessity of calculating alternative tax rates, the assertion that a flat tax would simplify the tax code much, or allow one to file a tax return on a "postcard" is as dubious now as it was twenty years ago. The existence of different marginal rates, and even of deductions, only accounts for a portion of the complexity in the tax code; there are inherent problems in determining what should be taxable and when, and in avoiding unintentional double taxation, that can't simply be wished away. Furthermore, Perry can't really mean that he would eliminate all deductions other than the dubious but politically popular ones he listed; to do so would be to disfavor small business income in relation to employment income, since it would either require either that business income be taxed at old, higher rates, or disallow deductions for inputs (such as payments to employees) that reflect the economic reality of what constitutes income from a business.
Also, as to the parts of his proposal that would go over like lead balloons politically, one wonders how he'd try to sell eliminating the capital-gains tax. Apart from the fact that, with the exception of investments in corporations, the elimination of taxation on capital gains largely shifts the tax structure from an income- to a consumption-based tax, the lines about "dropping billionaires from the tax rolls" would write themselves. I happen to believe in consumption tax as a matter of policy, but this plan is every bit as kooky as "9-9-9"--I suspect Perry is just counting on Americans' financial illiteracy to obscure the fact.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseRe "there are inherent problems in determining what should be taxable and when, and in avoiding unintentional double taxation, that can't simply be wished away."
This is exactly right and a fact that is little appreciated in the vast majority of journalistic commentary on tax reform. I would note that similar problems affect consumption taxes, e.g. what counts as consumption and what counts as investment.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWell if you like the old code it's preserved in this plan. It surely won't make certain aspects of determining net income or taxable income go away, but it does put forth an idea that the maximum you can take from an individual is 20%. It is not a flat tax but a cap on taxation. And good for that!
Billionaires would pay less in tax. So what. It is the right thing to do. If you want to make the popular argument and sock it to the rich the party across the aisle is ready to accommodate. Perhaps the smart thing to do is to lead from behind and dillute the argument so that the economic illiterate Americans can feel good about their envy of the rich. Or perhaps we should lead with ideas such as capping our tax liability. I'll let the blue-bloods worry about all the details and amendments to the plan, but if we can in general cap our tax at 20% we'll have set a useful standard in this country.
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