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The Agenda

NRO’s domestic-policy blog, by Reihan Salam.


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David Frum and Matt Yglesias on Carbon Taxes

Though I don’t share David Frum and Matt Yglesias’s enthusiasm for a carbon tax, they remind us of why the idea isn’t about to fade away. 

Frum offers the following as part of his case for a carbon tax:

Higher prices since 2006 have again changed behaviour. Americans are driving fewer miles. They are retiring more cars than they buy. They are opting again for smaller, fuel-efficient vehicles. They are buying smaller homes, with a new emphasis on central city living. The recession has of course intensified all these trends.

They won’t become ingrained, however, until and unless Americans accept that oil prices will remain high indefinitely. Which, in turn, means until and unless the United States adopts some system of standby energy taxes or carbon taxes.

My own view is that encouraging the embrace of pay-as-you-drive automobile insurance would deliver the same benefits (a) while reducing costs rather than raising them for the vast majority of motorists and (b) without creating a large new revenue source. Suffice it to say, some will consider (b) a disadvantage. I’d caution environmentalists to recognize, per Monica Prasad, that creating a new carbon-based revenue source might undermine efforts to reduce carbon emissions:

How do you get them to change? First, you prevent policy makers from turning the tax into a cash cow. Carbon tax discussions always seem to devolve into gleeful suggestions for ways to spend the revenue. Reduce the income tax? Give the money to low-income consumers? Use it to pay for health care? Everyone seems to forget that the amount of revenue is directly tied to the amount of pollution that is still going on. 

And of course our feelings about (b) will reflect our larger beliefs concerning whether we should emphasize large federal revenue increases as a share of GDP over the business cycle or greater spending and organizational discipline in government in our efforts to achieve fiscal sustainability.

New on The Agenda. . .


COMMENTS   1

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BrettV
   01/19/12 17:05

The Carbon Tax or greenhouse gases is a precursor to a much bigger problem? Around 25% of the worlds population over the past few hundred years have benefited from almost all of our natural resources both economically and environmentally. Many of the other 85% are now developing countries keen to embrace the same economic rewards of a fast growing economies. When you start to look at current carbon tax and ETS systems globally the numbers just don't add up both economically and environmentally with this in mind. Then you have current global population and expected population growth over the next decade or two and we simple don't have enough raw resources or physical land mass even to feed this many people? At some point not to far away direct environment & human issues will over ride and directly effect economies and financial investment rather than economics controlling resources, investment, etc as it currently does? A Paradigm shift in economics and Government policy will be required to deal with this fundamental and complex problem if we are to continue living any short of reality or life as we currently enjoy. So the challenge is now how to we go from continued economic growth and increased investment to economic and environmentally sustainable economies if there is such a thing?

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