New figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics confirm what everybody already knows: If you’re looking for a job in Cleveland, Ohio, your best bet is a one-way ticket to Midland, Texas.
Midland is not the most scenic spot in the United States. (Its sister city, Odessa, was described as “the worst town in the world” in Larry McMurtry’s Texasville.) Imagine one square mile of downtown Atlanta plopped into the middle of a largely featureless savannah and you’ll have the idea. But the average rent on an apartment there is nearly twice what it is in nearby cities of comparable size, and rents are up more than 20 percent year over year — if you are lucky enough to get an apartment. Official unemployment is about 3 percent; real unemployment is effectively zero. The reason for that is a booming energy industry. But it’s a different kind of boom: Whereas previous Texas oil-and-gas booms have been driven largely by prices, this boom is under way when oil prices are high but not dramatically so, and natural-gas prices are on the low side (last year, they were at 13-year lows). This isn’t a price bubble, but real production improvements driven by technological advances.
Among the non-energy businesses setting up shop in Midland, the city is particularly proud of XCOR, a private aerospace firm specializing in suborbital flight and rocket-engine development. Both its headquarters and its R&D facilities are relocating from their original location in Mojave, Calif. In addition to the obvious economic benefits, the move will confer a unique distinction on the city: Midland International will be the only facility in the United States that is both a commercial airport and a designated spaceport.
Spacecraft and oil rigs might seem to be miles apart, but in truth the two high-tech industries have a great deal in common: a constant need for engineers, technicians, and scientists, a focus on materials development (XCOR has a line in developing non-flammable plastics), and shared environmental concerns.
“Rather than say, ‘We can’t do this,’ we’re saying ‘How can we do this while maintaining the ecosystem?’” Barnett says. “The current legal standards may be good for today, but what about tomorrow? We’re taking a long-term approach.”
The downside, if you want to call it that, is that Midland and the surrounding areas have been left with some pretty high-class problems: There are not enough houses and apartments for all of the new workers flooding into the Permian Basin, and the allure of high-wage jobs in the energy industry has made it hard to hire people for jobs in retail, services, and — most critical — education. Last year, Midland was obliged to petition the state for waivers of student-teacher-ratio rules in its schools. Getting back within state guidelines has meant hiring new teachers, which has been a challenge with so much competition from the energy business.
Educational institutions are a critical factor: Midland College, the University of Texas of the Permian Basin, and Texas Tech University all offer energy-oriented academic programs that help keep the oil and gas rigs staffed. Since it is harder to get people to move to West Texas than to get them to move to the big coastal metropolises, Midland’s work-force strategy is focused locally.
But those tempted by California or the East Coast should know this: According to a 2012 report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, Midland had a higher per capita income than did Silicon Valley, and the second-highest per capita income in the nation, trailing only the posh Connecticut suburbs of New York City.
At the opposite end of the employment spectrum is Atlantic City, N.J. Having spent some time in both cities, I can tell you that you will seldom find two towns as different as Midland and Atlantic City. Atlantic City’s economy is based on a fundamentally non-productive enterprise — gambling — the politics and economics of which I explored at some length here. An economy based on gambling has foundations in fantasy; an economy based on energy has its foundations in the real world. There will be ups and downs, inevitably, but the energy industry, plagued for decades by short-term thinking and fly-by-night business models, shows every sign of settling in for the long term. Unless the federal government suffocates it — a real danger — it has the potential to transform the U.S. economy. And not only in Midland: The only thing preventing an energy renaissance in New York and California is politics.
“West Texas is not for everyone,” Barnett says. “For people relocating from other parts of the country, it can be startling.” In other words: It ain’t pretty, but it works. “But,” she adds, “if you want a job in Midland, Texas, you can find it.” If you happen to be in El Centro, Calif. (unemployment rate 24 percent), Cleveland (4,300 jobs lost last year), or Atlantic City (4,700 jobs lost last year), a regular paycheck might prove to be a lovely thing. Try not to step on the lizards.
— Kevin D. Williamson’s new book is The End Is Near and It’s Going to Be Awesome.