One of the weird little facts of life that we don’t think about or talk about very much — and really should when we’re talking about taxes, the minimum wage, welfare spending, and other things related to inequality of income and wealth (and go ahead and picture me here manfully resisting the urge to put sneer quotes around “inequality,” as if a uniform distribution of material resources were the natural state of things and not some daft dorm-room fantasy) — is that we pay for everything (really, everything) collectively.
Let me show you what I mean.
Costs get shifted around.
It goes like this: Say you have a software engineer who is really very good at what he does, and he’s living happily in Austin making $200,000 a year and eating delicious tacos, and he can afford all the delicious tacos he wants because $200,000 a year is a fair chunk of change in Austin. So when Company X in New York decides that it wants to hire him, and that it really needs him in its Manhattan office, it can’t get him for $200,000. This guy is a numbers guy, and he takes a look at the housing prices in New York, and the state and local income taxes — of which he pays a grand total of $0.00 per annum in Austin — and he knows from his last visit that nobody in New York knows how to make a decent taco, which is going to lower his standard of living still further, so he doesn’t want $220,000 or $245,832 — no, he wants $300,000, and a paid move, and an annual taco airlift.
So, who cares? Company X is a gazillion-dollar-a-year technology company, and if the Sand Hill Road guys who own all the equity have to shell out an extra $100,000 a year to get Super Software Pimp on their payroll, all that means is that they’re not going to be able to get a custom Hermès ostrich-hide interior for their third Tesla. Ah, but most of these guys didn’t get to be rich by accident. And they’re nerds, so they have a thing about competition and efficiency. They do not like to feel like they’re being had, and they aren’t taking it in the shorts. Not if they can help it. Which. They. Can.
Low-income people have low incomes because people don’t value their labor very much. Forcing employers to pay more isn’t going to make them value that labor more highly.
As it turns out, not everybody who works at every technology company is Super Software Pimp, who can basically say, “Cut me a check, monkey!” whenever he feels like it. Some of them are Marginal Software Guy, or Receptionist Working a Second Job until That Publishing Thing Really Takes Off. These ladies and gentlemen do not have a whole lot of what economists call “market power.” Their skills are not all that rare, and their performance is not all that high. When they say, “Cut me a check, monkey!” they’re just hanging out at the Central Park Zoo engaged in a little wishful thinking, and the monkeys just give them the side-eye and go back to poo-flinging.
These people didn’t get huge deals to start with, but like everybody else, they don’t negotiate the size of their paycheck just the one time. They negotiate their compensation every day. Every day economic conditions are changing just a little bit, and inflation by itself (though it has been quite mild of late) is lowering their real salary every single day. Negotiating wages is an iterative thing: You get a starting salary, you try to get a raise, you talk about leaving for another job and see if they’ll make you a better offer, and so on. And the Suits are doing it right back at you: It’s actually pretty rare to just cut somebody’s pay (though it happens), but they’ll do things like raise your insurance premiums when the cost goes up (Thanks, Mr. Obama!) rather than paying for it themselves, or they’ll give you extra work with no extra pay. In some industries, it’s not uncommon to furlough employees when the Suits need to save money.
And . . . it’s not only employers and employees who are constantly negotiating. Company X has consumers, and it has suppliers. When we talk about raising the minimum wage to 15 bucks, somebody always says that that’s going to mean a $10 Big Mac. In reality, that isn’t likely to happen. Big powerful corporations like McDonald’s and Walmart have very, very little market power vis-à-vis their customers. Walmart customers have all the power, because slightly better versions of all the stuff for sale at Walmart is also for sale at Target and a million other places, and if Walmart jacks up its prices, Walmartians are going to walk. They’re going to disco on down the road to wherever else people buy cookies and plastic buckets and car batteries and archery gear at the same time. See ya, Sam! But Walmart can damn sure pass costs on to the companies whose stuff is sold at Walmart. When it gave its employees a big raise, you can bet that companies that rely on it for a quarter or half their sales picked up some of the tab.
People really do value four hours of a neurosurgeon’s time more than four hours of a barista’s time, and insisting that you have to pay neurosurgeons and baristas the same won’t change that.
But here’s the thing: Not everybody has equal market power. The reason for this isn’t merit, or brainpower, or the willingness to work hard, or anything else like that. A lot of the guys at Goldman Sachs do not have a lot of personal merit, Kim Kardashian has no detectable brainpower, and college professors are famous for their disinclination to hard work, but they all make a pretty good living. Why? Because people want what they want. Sometimes it is difficult to understand, but they do. People bought tacky Donald J. Trump shirts from Macy’s before Macy’s dumped him. People keep up with the Kardashians. When Bruce Jenner comes out with his line of cosmetics, you can be sure people will buy it. Preferences are real, and you can’t change them by just passing a law. People really do value four hours of a neurosurgeon’s time more than four hours of a barista’s time, and insisting that you have to pay neurosurgeons and baristas the same won’t change that. You can play with the money, but you can’t change the underlying preferences. And the underlying preferences are what give people market power.
So, Super Software Pimp pushes those Manhattan rental prices and taxes off on his employer, which pushes them off on little vendors that really can’t afford to lose the Company X contract, who push them off onto other customers, and so on and so forth, in an enormously complex web of nickel-and-diming, until some kid working at a Sonic in Muleshoe can’t get a 25-cent raise because Bill de Blasio and Andrew Cuomo are taking a big cut of some nerd’s paycheck. As Milton Friedman once put it, “Corporations aren’t taxpayers; corporations are tax-collectors.”
You know who doesn’t have a lot of market power? Poor people. People who make the minimum wage. Small businesses. Which is to say, all the people politicians always say they’re trying to help with regulations or a higher minimum wage or taxes on rich bastards and corporations — who don’t pay ’em. Poor people bear these costs in obvious ways, such as higher prices or lower wages, but also in non-obvious ways, such as improvements in their standard of living that would have happened under different conditions but just never materialize. Low-income people have low incomes because people don’t value their labor very much and so aren’t willing to pay very much for it. Forcing employers to pay more isn’t going to make them value that labor more highly. You could set the minimum wage at $400 an hour, and you probably wouldn’t improve the real standard of living of low-earning people at all, at least not for very long. The amount of real goods and services available is the same — sloshing money around does not magically call Honda Civics or neurosurgeons into existence — and people will still desire what they desire. Cost-shifting may take a little time to work, but the best bet is that it ends up setting the board back to more or less where things started, because little green pieces of paper aren’t what people value — they value what they can trade them for.
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The economic literature isn’t actually very good on this question, from what I’ve seen, which is understandable, because the world of human material endeavor is very large and complex. There have been some snapshots taken: For example, policymakers are keenly interested in the question of whether and to what extent hospitals and other health-care providers who get screwed by Medicare (which “reimburses” hospitals less than the cost of actual care, meaning it doesn’t actually reimburse hospitals) push those costs onto other consumers, especially private insurance companies, which then (you won’t be surprised by this point) pass them on to their customers. The answer seems to be yes (though some progressives, who love love love love Medicare, dispute this) but there are pretty seriously conflicting views about how and how much. And of course the hospitals aren’t just passing Medicare screwage on to insurance companies; presumably, they’re passing it on to the janitors and orderlies and gauze-bandage makers and everybody else they can. This probably isn’t even a conscious thing in many cases: It’s not that Joe Hospital gets up one day and says, “Medicare is shorting me 9 percent of what it costs to treat these oldsters, so I’ll pass 1 percent along to the doctors, 3 percent to those insurance rat-finks, 0.55 percent to the bandage guys . . . ”
Every business executive knows who from whom when it comes to getting screwed.
But every business executive knows who from whom when it comes to getting screwed. Executives know that they can pass $10,000 in forgone raises on to 30 technicians a lot more easily than they can to one neurosurgeon.
Say you want to improve the life of a guy who doesn’t make very much money. You can shuffle around little green pieces of paper and make yourself feel virtuous and maybe win yourself some votes, if you’re into that sort of thing. Or you could teach him to do something that people actually value more, if the sort of thing you’re into is actually helping people out. Or you could invest in equipment and machinery (or get the hell out of the way and let somebody who knows what he’s doing make the investments, Mr. President) that would allow him to be more productive, if you’re into the whole capitalism thing. Or you could whine about capitalism and “inequality” (I held out as long as I could!) and the general unfairness of it all, if being twelve years old is your sort of thing. Some of those strategies will get better real results than others, depending on what your thing is.
In the end, though, how well-off your society (and the world) is going to be is determined by how much of your resources you put into creating the things people actually value vs. how much of them you fritter away on trying to make people value things the way you want them to instead of the way they actually do. We’ve got a lot of lawyers helping companies figure out how to comply with regulations that don’t actually do anything useful, and a lot of smart guys helping GE figure out how to not pay taxes. Those guys could be washing cars or picking lettuce or doing something productive instead of that. We’ve got a lot of engineers who are not out inventing cool and useful stuff because Nancy Pelosi has some feelings about the way power plants work and because Barack Obama is dumping Americans’ money into companies that make stuff nobody values enough to spend their own coin on it. That’s how you end up poor, or at least poorer than you had to be.
And who pays for all of that? Everybody. It’s a kind of inverted Marxism. It isn’t “From each according to his means,” it’s “From each according to how little power he has to pass the cost on to some other poor bastard.” There’s no such thing as “raising taxes, but only on the rich” or “passing regulations that only cost Big Business.” Everybody is always and forever on the same hook.
— Kevin D. Williamson is National Review’s roving correspondent and the author of The End Is Near and It’s Going to Be Awesome.