Are Republicans ‘Due’?
Much more than the fate of the two political parties is on the line this November.


Thomas Sowell

When a baseball player has come to bat after failing to get a hit 20 times in a row, some fans say he is “due” for a hit. But statisticians say he is no more likely to get a hit in this at-bat than at any other time. In other words, there is no such thing as being “due.”

After the Republicans went from being the dominant party, at both the state and national levels, just a few years ago, to getting clobbered by the Democrats two elections in a row, some people think the Republicans are “due” to make a comeback in this fall’s elections.

Maybe it will happen. The polls show that the voting public is getting more and more fed up with the Obama administration and with both houses of Congress, which are dominated by Democrats. But, when Election Day comes, it still takes a candidate to beat a candidate — and the question is whether the Republicans will come up with the kinds of candidates who can win.

Those of us who are not Republicans nevertheless have a huge stake in this fall’s elections, because the current administration in Washington is not merely deficient but dangerous, both at home and abroad.

In just one year in power, the Obama administration has not merely tripled the deficit and circumvented the Constitution with its “czars” who rule by decree, but has moved to dictate the medical treatment of all Americans — which is to say, Obama and his team are moving toward getting the power of life and death, to add to all the other powers they have seized.

Increasing numbers of Americans are saying that they are having trouble recognizing the country in which they were born and grew up. They will have even more trouble recognizing America if the Washington juggernaut does not lose a substantial part of its power in this year’s elections.

The dangers are not only in domestic policy but even more so in foreign policy. The Obama administration’s diddling around while the fanatical leaders of a terrorist-sponsoring nation such as Iran are moving toward producing nuclear weapons can take us and the rest of the world to a point of no return.

No nation on earth will let three of its cities be annihilated by nuclear weapons without surrendering. The fact that the United States has never surrendered may make it difficult for Americans even to imagine that it could happen, much less what a horror it would be to live under hate-filled fanatics like the current Iranian leaders. But Japan had likewise never surrendered in its entire history until it was hit with two nuclear bombs.

Unlike us, Iranian leaders — going back to the Ayatollah Khomeini — have said plainly that they are willing to see their country destroyed as the price of destroying the enemies of Islam — which, in their view of the world, include the United States.

Perhaps serious sanctions might have been enough to stop Iran’s nuclear program a few years ago, by crippling its economy. But nobody in the West had the stomach for that.

The longer we wait, the higher the price goes — the price of either action or inaction.

Just three years ago, the people currently at the top in Washington — including Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton — were ready to turn tail and run in Iraq.

Former ambassador John Bolton has written a book titled Surrender Is Not an Option. But it is an option for the kind of people at the top in the Obama administration.

It would take a leader with extraordinary courage, pride in America, and dedication to the values, the traditions, and the people of America to stand up to enemies who could annihilate Los Angeles, Chicago, and New York with nuclear weapons.

Does this sound anything like the president who has gone around the world apologizing for this country and literally bowing to foreign leaders?

The stakes in this fall’s elections go far beyond the fate of either the Republican party or the Democratic party. The fate of America is on the line. The Republicans need to understand that — and to understand that they are not simply “due” after 2006 and 2008.

They have a job to do, and what will happen to our children and grandchildren will depend on how well they do it.

Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. © 2010 Creators Syndicate, Inc.



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