The Democrats resent their recent losses and propose to take their anger out on American taxpayers — with a massive tax hike presented as a compromise on extending the Bush tax rates. It may be bad news for taxpayers, investors, the jobless, and the economy at large, but the Democrats’ intransigent insistence on sticking to their class-warfare platform is excellent news for incoming Republicans, inasmuch as it suggests that the Democrats still have not figured out exactly why the nation visited an almighty shellacking upon them on Election Day.
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Many congressional Democrats first wanted to undo what they still insist on calling “the Bush tax cuts,” by which they mean raising the tax rates that have been the law of the land for nearly a decade now. That was, at one time, Plan A. Reality got in the way, including the reality that first John Kerry and then Barack Obama campaigned on a pledge not to raise middle-class taxes. Obama raised them, anyway, but he did it through the back door in the health-care bill. Still, an explicit tax-rate hike for the middle class was off the table, and so Plan B was a large tax hike on families earning $250,000 or more. But that would have punished a lot of small businesses, not to mention a fair number of two-earner households consisting of the likes of policemen, nurses, public-school administrators, and other professionals whose combined household incomes frequently top $250,000 but who can hardly be demonized as “the rich.” So now Sen. Claire McCaskill, a Missouri Democrat, has trotted out Plan C: confining rate hikes to “millionaires,” meaning any household with an income exceeding $1 million. Senator McCaskill has never been the sharpest financial mind in the Senate, but even she should be able to figure out that a married couple earning $1 million in 2010 does not necessarily consist of “millionaires” — depending on their state and local tax burdens, they’re likely to be barely halfway there even before they have spent one thin dime of their own earnings. Nor does the gentlelady from Missouri much seem to appreciate the fact that a large number of small-business owners have an income exceeding $1 million — precisely once in their lives, usually the year they sell their businesses and retire. They are not that rich, either. Economic reality is complex, but the Democrats are still borrowing their rhetorical gambits from the 1930s Monopoly game board, promising to stick it to Rich Uncle Pennybags with his monocle and top hat — Parker Bros. economics.
The economic facts are a good deal more complicated. As the always-sensible Reihan Salam reports in the current edition of National Review, economists expect that raising taxes at the top end would reduce economic growth significantly. Democrats will call that a Republican talking point, but it is consistent with the findings of the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office, currently under the management of Douglas Elmendorf, a Democratic appointee. The CBO numbers suggest that a partial preservation of the Bush tax rates — meaning a compromise that raises taxes on “the rich,” in this instance defined as those earning $250,000 or more — would reduce real GNP by 1.2 percent, as lower revenue necessitates more government borrowing, slowing down long-term economic growth. But an across-the-board extension would reduce real GNP by only 0.6 percent, cutting the economic losses in half. Another way of saying that is that the growth effects of extending the tax cuts at the affluent end of the scale would make up half of the forgone real GNP associated with the tax cuts. That isn’t Arthur Laffer’s analysis, it’s the Democratic-led CBO’s.
Confining the rate hikes to households earning $1 million or more very likely would produce an even worse ratio of economic damage to tax revenue raised.
I have been floating a tax plan for years to people but nobody seems interested.
The almost flat tax system.
Get rid of the Social Security Tax.
Get rid of the Medicare Tax.
Both are just income taxes.
Everyone pays the greater of these two taxes.
A minimum tax of 5% on all income, regardless of size,
or
tax income at 20% that is over $14,500 x (Number of adults + one half the number of minor children).
Employers would collect the 5% minimum tax through the present withholding system. The 20% tax would be paid quarterly by the taxpayer.
On ABC This Week there was a puff piece about the saintly Bill Gates, Warren Buffet and Ted Turner. The premise - they are giving their wealth away - aren't they great, AND they think taxes should be raised. No one asked the question - "Why aren't you giving your money to the government?". They reason is straight forward, these are very smart people and they know that giving money to the government is a BAD investment.
The reality is that regardless of marginal rates (whether 78% or 28%) the government's tax take as a percentage of GDP is about 19%. This is so consistent some economists refer to it as a "law". In simple terms people modify their behavior based on tax consequences and will not "pay" more than 20% of their income - period. Therefore the wise policy is to establish tax structures that recognize this "law" and that promote investment and growth. Punishing "the rich" is simplistic political sophistry.
When one of these Democrat pols talk about compromising on how much more private citizens' property to take, it sure would be nice if there was a Republican with enough guts to come out and say "no more taxing, time for massive to cuts in government." It's sickening how much money is wasted every second by extra-constitutional vote buying welfare programs and federal jobs programs like The Department of Education.
When one of these Democrat pols talk about compromising on how much more private citizens' property to take, it sure would be nice if there was a Republican with enough guts to come out and say "no more taxing, time for massive to cuts in government." It's sickening how much money is wasted every second by extra-constitutional vote buying welfare programs and federal jobs programs like The Department of Education.