Texas governor Rick Perry’s high-profile battle with the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) couldn’t have come at a better time. The fight may not be over in time for the 2012 presidential elections, and he very well may lose, but no matter what happens, he can count it as a political victory. Given that Perry is angling for a shot at the White House in 2012 — and given the fiscal problems his state faces — that’s just what he’s hoping for.
This nasty row stems from the EPA’s recent effort under the Clean Air Act to deny Texas its authority to issue air permits for power generation and industrial plants. It’s perfect for Perry, who has emerged as a favorite of Tea Party and anti-tax activists. Indeed, it fits Perry’s political agenda like a pearl-gray Stetson. For proof of that, consider Perry’s new book. On November 15, just a few days after becoming the first Texas governor to win a third full term, Perry published Fed Up! Our Fight to Save America From Washington. In the book, Perry declares: “It is not America that is broken; it is Washington that is broken.”
Advertisement
Although Perry and his spokesmen continue to claim he’s not interested in running for the White House, Perry is following his predecessor’s playbook. Recall that in November 1999, then–Texas governor George W. Bush published his book, A Charge To Keep, to give readers “a sense of my values, my philosophy.”
Of course, Perry doesn’t have the kind of national name recognition that Bush had. But he’s clearly trying to raise his profile. Political operatives in Austin tell me that Perry’s campaign team has been quietly polling voters outside of the Lone Star State to gauge his chances on the national stage. With the November 2012 election 22 months away, Perry is hoping to gain some early traction.
To be clear, a Perry White House bid would be a long shot. In mid-November 2008, amid George W. Bush’s dismal approval ratings and Barack Obama’s historic campaign to take the White House, I wrote a column predicting that it would be many years before another Texas politician would be viable as a national candidate. I still think that’s true. But Perry has several things working in his favor. Foremost among them: He can win Texas. Recall that when Obama won in 2008, he was only the third person since Calvin Coolidge to win the White House without prevailing in Texas. The others were Bill Clinton (who, thanks largely to Ross Perot, did it twice) and Richard Nixon (who did it once, in 1968). Second, Perry can see the obvious: a large but weak list of potential Republican candidates, none of whom has emerged as a real favorite.
In addition, Perry has a proven ability to raise money. En route to his thumping of Democrat gubernatorial candidate (and former Houston mayor) Bill White in November, Perry raised more than $30 million. And his fundraising prowess is a key reason why he was recently elected as head of the Republican Governors Association.
Texas is the only state that has refused the EPA’s requirement to establish a greenhouse-gas permitting program for big industrial plants. But by fighting Washington, Perry follows a long Texas tradition. In the 1940s and ’50s, Texas waged a bitter fight against federal regulators over royalty rights to offshore minerals. This “Tidelands” battle emerged as a major issue in the 1952 presidential race between Dwight Eisenhower and Adlai Stevenson. The Texas Democratic party — the only party in the state at that time — was so incensed at Stevenson’s opposition to Texas’s position on the matter that it passed a resolution urging Democrats to vote against him. Eisenhower, who was sympathetic to Texas on the controversy, beat Stevenson in Texas and went to the White House, and Texas eventually got ownership of its offshore rights.
Perry’s pushback against the EPA, which is now being litigated in federal court, is clearly aimed at trying to help Texas’s massive hydrocarbon sector. And for good reason: Texas companies produce, refine, and distribute more oil, natural gas, refined products, and chemicals than any other state. That production and refining means that Texas is the biggest carbon-dioxide emitter in the U.S., producing about 10 percent of all CO2 in the country.
Don't think Perry's your man. What he lacks in charm he makes up for in lack of articulation. He shows up poorly in even mildly adversarial interview situations..i.e., Chris Wallace a few weeks ago. The Trans Texas Corridors could give pause to small government folks like me, too.
BS, Floyd, Perry would be better than Romney or any senator or congress representative. Now, I doubt he'd run but I will say this, it may all be moot if the EPA wins and we lose our fight against ObamaCare, b/c it could be the last two straws on Texas' back. Where did our $26.8B deficit come from--much of it from MediCare dumping into Texas and estimated increases resulting from O'Care--it's too much. We may have to sell the Houston East to the Gulf to Louisiana--those folks are more Bayou Folk anyway--to get rid of the last real vestige of liberal/left and the predominant labor union population--not to mention the Ron Paulians--to git'er done, but we may have to secede to save the state.
We don't cotton much to saving NY, IL, MI and California from bankruptcy with a bailout which might be the third straw.
So, if Rick runs it's better than most other prospects, but I hope he stays here and continues to fight.
Rick Perry's campaign guru Dave Carney said ONCE A-FREAKING-GAIN that the "polling outside of Texas" theory is total bunk. What a shame that NRO is pushing these ridiculous stories from anonymous sources.
From POLITICO:
UPDATE: Perry advisor Dave Carney, however, disputes Bryce's reporting, telling POLITICO's Alexander Burns "We have done no polling in any state other than Texas, period. Nor have we seen any polling that anyone or entity did in any other state. Unequivocally."
I've been living in Texas for most of the past 20 years and worked in state government during the first part of Perry's administration. Texas has done pretty well economically over that time period, but I would say that's despite his governorship rather than because of it. I find him off-putting personally and not terribly principled politically. Perry is looking out for number 1 and has just happened to start pushing more conservative policies as that stance has become more popular.
I would fight him tooth and nail if he decided to run.
I second KravGirl's remarks. I too moved to Texas about 20 years ago and am a state employee. While it may well be better in the current climate to be a resident of Texas than of just about any of the other 49, this appears to me to owe much more to Texans' comparative dislike of government regulation than to Perry's leadership. The packing of state university boards of regents and high administration with cronies who in many cases have minimal academic credentials, and reported ousting of regents who had supported his opponent in the primary, suggests the kind of connection-based, backroom culture that government already has far too much of. And is this just a folk rumor, or was Perry Al Gore's Texas campaign manager in 1988?
Perry does not impress me and I personally believe he should stay in TX. There are far better potential candidates like Ron Paul who actually cares about the people of this country and it's direction which is completely backwards. My wishful ticket for 2012 would be a Christie/Rubio ticket. Such a ticket would make it very hard for Obama to win NJ, OH, VA, IN, FL, NC, NM, etc. like in 2008.
Texas is doing better than most other states, and with good reason. Perry is the lesser of the evils who ran for governor. I don't see Perry winning a presidential race in 2012, but I wouldn't be sad to see him leave Texas and clear the way for a true conservative (which Perry isn't) to run.
Thank God our state constitution, protects Texans from a bad governor being able to completely ruin the state in one or two terms. Also, Texans have a history of forcing our state government to reverse bad decisions.
One great thing about the Tea Party movement is that it has pushed Perry to the right some.
As for people who move to Texas from other states and then bash us... Move! We didn't ask you to come here and don't care if you leave. Feel free to go back to whatever state you left.
Rick Perry can be the sacrificial lamb, and return to the Governors Mansion in November 2012.
Obama will win reelection. He will. America gives the party in power 2 terms almost always (Carter was the only exception going back to Hoover).
The problem with Rick Perry is that hard core Texas "conservatives" (think Huckabee, not Buckley) is that they don't like him. He "inherited" the governors mansion in Texas (though he's been three times reelected).
Personally, I love the guy. So he's a politician. . . what did anyone expect?
And he has fought for very strong pro-business culture in Texas (inclusing the Trans Texas Corridor).