Over three decades, Sen. Orrin Hatch has labored unsuccessfully for a Balanced Budget Amendment. The Senate last passed such a measure in 1982, only to be disappointed by a Democrat-controlled House. The tease hit its apex in 1997, when the Utahn cobbled together 66 votes — one aye short of the constitutional requirement. “Like Charlie Brown with the football, we kept trying,” he laments in his memoir.
With fiscal hawks roosting in both chambers, Hatch, the ranking Republican on the Senate Finance Committee, is itching for another round. This week, along with Sen. John Cornyn (R., Texas), he will unveil a revamped proposal. The pair’s amendment will mandate the federal budget not to exceed total revenues, cap federal spending at 20 percent of gross domestic product, and require a two-thirds vote (in both the House and the Senate) for net tax increases. The legislation will also require the president to submit a balanced budget to Congress each fiscal year.
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As the federal government nears its $14.3 trillion debt ceiling, a “great constitutional debate,” Hatch declares, is necessary. “Let’s put the screws on the big spenders,” he says. “We are facing a fiscal crisis and excuses are unacceptable.”
Cornyn agrees. “We don’t have to extend the debt ceiling for a year; we could do it for a month,” he says. “The question is, what price is the Democratic leadership in that Senate willing to pay in order to get a longer extension of the debt ceiling? Personally, I think that a vote on a balanced-budget amendment is one of the prices we should exact for a vote on the debt ceiling.”
Pressuring President Obama to move beyond scrambled talking points, especially in his post–State of the Union glow, is instrumental. “We have witnessed a colossal spending binge out of this White House,” Hatch sighs. “They have put forward budgets that double the deficit in five years and triple it in ten.” With Gene Sperling, Obama’s top economic adviser, having worked with congressional Republicans on a balanced-budget compromise during the Clinton years, there may be an opportunity for more than crosstalk.
“When we had these grand budget compromises in the 1980s and 1990s, spending was reduced, taxes were raised, and the crisis was stalled, but only for a short period of time,” Hatch observes. “Over time, the tax increases remained, but the spending began to increase almost as soon as the deals were finished.” A constitutional amendment, he argues, is the medicine for this Beltway ailment.
Cornyn says the tax deal Senate Republicans made during the lame-duck session enables them to frame their case around spending. “Usually, when we talk about balancing the budget, there is a fight between people who think we need to raise taxes and people who think we need to cut spending,” he says. “Having resolved the tax issue for two years, we can now focus on spending, which has always been the primary culprit.”
In the GOP cloakroom, the Hatch-Cornyn initiative is gaining steam. Twenty senators, including veteran John McCain of Arizona and freshman Roy Blunt of Missouri, have signed on. So have Americans for Tax Reform and the American Conservative Union, two influential outside groups. “I think this has a good chance of passing,” Cornyn says.
Hatch and Cornyn, however, are not the only Senate Republicans who will propose a balanced-budget amendment this month. Rand Paul, a Kentucky freshman and founder of the Tea Party Caucus, is readying his own package, which will couple $500 billion in federal budget cuts with a balanced-budget amendment.
I'm starting to think that we should never leave an out for politicians to exploit. How often have they raised the debt ceiling by this point?
One tweak I'd suggest - Don't cap the spending to projected revenues; cap it at the previous year's revenues. That way they can't make unrealistic assumptions about the budget, they'll be forced to use a hard number for the starting point.
I have a serious question, and I admit to not having seen either's proposal.
How can a balanced budget truly be attained given the structures of so many of our current debt obligations, and - a topic that gets glossed over far too frequently - allowing the Fed to print monies at will?
I think that restricting government spending to a percentage of GDP is the more realistic route to take. It is probably more difficult to manipulate the GDP number than it is to use budget gimmicks to create a "balance". However, I would set the percentage at 18% of GDP rather than 20.
I'm surprised that not more is being made of the 'military conflict' exception in the Hatch-Cornyn bill. Don't get me wrong - I'm glad they're pushing their bill, and I'm proud of my own senator (Cornyn) for his involvement in that - but isn't that a rather large exception unless you encase it in legal language that defines exactly what a 'military conflict' is? When was the last time the U.S. wasn't in a 'military conflict' somewhere? We've technically been at war with al-Queida for what, 9.5 years now?
Maybe this would be workable with language that suggests that non-defense spending would still have to be balanced.
To follow up on my post, the reason I'd like it restricted to the previous year's revenue is that it will also make revenue prediction more honest. Right now, the politicians can come up with any scenario they like for the tax code; this would introduce consequences to their decisions. They would have to actually grapple with the effects of the tax code rather than treating it like a magical money tree. (Correction: ONE of the magical money trees they resort to.)
The underlying problem is that there is simply no way to hold the politicians accountable for their promises, and therefore they keeping promising whatever people want to hear. A solid, known target like the previous year's revenue would set a limit on what they could spend, and would be a way to introduce some accountability at the same time.
Naturally, I'm convinced that this stands no chance whatever of being adopted for this very reason.
Why is "enhanced recission" for the President necessary? Congress has the power of the purse. Before submitting any budget for the President's signature, all wasteful spending should already have been eliminated.
Actually we are not technically at war with al-Quaeda. al-Quadea is not a state and Congress has not declared that a state of war currently exists between the United States and any other state.
Don't know if that's the requirement Hatch envisions. It should be.
Belt - the problem there is that the prior year may have been a better year than the next one. See 2008-2009. I think it was clear that revenue was going to be down in 2009 from 2008 - but if they were able to use the 2008 number we would have wound up with a deficit for the year. That's not balanced. Now maybe we're willing to tolerate it, but that's a different story.
I also think the amendment should commit surplus funds to debt reduction - or at least some percentage of them. A big part of the problem with deficit spending is that we never reverse course - we never take a surplus and actually reduce the debt - it only goes one direction. We need some structural way to insure that in the boom times we're moving the needle the other direction.
As you said, the flip side is that when the balance goes the other way you can apply the surplus to the deficit. But the sticking point, as always, is that the political class simply refuses to accept any real limits on their power. That's why I'm skeptical of any reform. The basic problem is not structural, it's the desire of individuals and parties to increase their power through increasing the scope and power of the government. The problem is human nature. The problem is us.
Well said, Belt. If we just followed the constitution we have most of our fiscal problems wouldn't have ever even happened. What makes us think any of these jokers would follow this new amendment?
The real opposition will be from the big banks via the Federal Reserve that gets enormous outsize influence from their monopoly on money printing. They won't like getting cut out of all the profit on that government debt. That is where the real opposition is. Democrats and certain Republicans will guard the big banks like pit bulls because it is so profitable for them to do so. Count on it.
The president should not gain any more power. With signing statements, veto, and executive orders, Congress will make itself irrelevant. The prez already has too much power.