The collapse of the housing market has been an object lesson for America. Households and banks borrowed too much on expectations of continuing appreciation in real-estate prices. This extra borrowing inflated a bubble until it burst. By discounting the future too optimistically, we let the good times roll away.
The collapse of Chrysler and GM has been another object lesson. Management and unions pledged too many worker and retiree benefits on expectations of continuing demand for their gas-guzzlers. By discounting the future too optimistically, they let the good times roll away.
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The private sector is now rethinking its unrealistic optimism. It has to, since its asset valuations have tumbled. Payrolls are shrinking. Benefits are being cut back. Both management and workers are accepting that they have to work harder for less. Government is upping the pressure by hiking taxes, requiring banks to raise more capital, and demanding more objective risk reporting.
But the government is not applying these lessons to itself. On the contrary, the public sector’s tendency to discount the future too optimistically is growing. It is pledging ever more payoffs to its employees and wards and concealing more than ever their true costs, even as private-sector incomes fall.
The public sector employs about one-sixth of the U.S. work force. Apart from the expansions and contractions of the military, that share hasn’t changed much since World War II. About one in five public-sector jobs is federal, with civilian government and the military each employing roughly 2 million. Nearly another million work in federally owned enterprises, most of them in the Postal Service.
Average federal pay is distinctly higher than private-sector pay. After adjusting for part-time work and the cash value of payment in kind, the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reports a wage and salary premium in 2008 of 33 percent for the military and 58 percent for civilian government. It wasn’t always that way. All of the military premium and nearly half the civilian premium were created between 2000 and 2005.
These premiums were needed to improve recruitment and retention. In 1997, the Congressional Budget Office concluded that the government paid 22 percent less than the private sector for similar jobs. Bolstering the military after 9/11 was also a priority.
For reasons of efficiency and fairness, the extra pay might have been coupled with reducing the job security and trimming the benefits that federal employees traditionally enjoy. It was not. On the contrary, the federal benefit edge has widened. It is not easy to measure how much, for the government refuses to publish direct comparisons. However, a few months ago, Chris Edwards of the Cato Institute deduced from BEA statistics that from 2000 to 2008, benefits grew a whopping $16,000 per full-time federal civilian employee, versus $3,000 per private employee. Federal benefits are now more than four times private benefits.
What was intended as catch-up, then, is now in overdrive. In 2008, federal employees were relatively well insulated from the financial crisis. Their benefits were guaranteed, they bore little risk of layoff, and the thriving business of government buoyed housing valuations for D.C.-area residents. A sense of shared national burden would have called for public-sector restraint in 2009. Instead, as millions of private workers lost their jobs and real incomes declined, civilian federal salaries were boosted 3.9 percent. Not surprisingly, resignation rates for federal employees have sunk to less than a third of private-sector averages.
The reasonable solution is extremely simple and will work with absolute certainty. The states need to use their sovereign authority to revamp their contracts, which were reckless and irresponsible. The principle needs to be respected that one legislature cannot bind its sovereign successors.
Then turn all these pensions into defined contribution plans instead of defined benefit plans. Whatever level the plans are funded at now, that pool of assets and whatever it returns is prorated to the beneficiaries. If it is only enough to pay 75% of the ridiculous past promises, then tough toenails, they get 75 cents on the dollar of those promises.
Simple. It puts the hit where it belongs, on the grasping irresponsible beneficiars themselves. They can tighten their own belts. We are not their ATM.
Lets keep in mind that not all states and not all state employees are recieving bloated, inappropriate salaries. As the author mentioned, it is more a federal problem than a state problem.
In my case, I worked many years with low pay to get my PhD, and even now, receive a modest middle class salary as a postdoc working for the state. Frankly, the state got a pretty good (nearly) free ride out of me and other grad students for about 4-8 years on average who work 60-70 hour weeks with a highly specialized technical education background doing research for about the same pay as what a janitor makes, minus the janitor's benefit package.
While one can argue that lower educated members of the government workforce are getting a pretty good deal, as many PhDs will tell you, the highly educated get a better deal in the private sector. Probably not surprisingly, while there is no shortage of American workers in the lower educated gov't jobs, if you look at graduate students, postdocs, research scientists, and newer professors, you will find a very high percentage of them are foreigners, many who find the stretch of working for 65 hours a week for $18k a year to be a step up from what they get back home. Not surprisingly, this also leads to many homegrown Americans to decide that its not worthwhile to pursue a graduate degree in science anymore.
Trying to push down all state wages instead of spending the time to examine who is getting paid what compared to the private sector, is only going to make matters worse.
I must say that the title of this article is one of the best double allusions I have seen in a long time. It is sad, but true. The Fatted Leviathan roars for "MORE!" even while it is eating everything left in the house.