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What Barbour’s Decision Means
The remaining contenders are breathing a sigh of relief — and eyeing his staff.

By Robert Costa


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Just like that, Mississippi governor Haley Barbour is out of the 2012 presidential sweepstakes.

Barbour hadn’t made much of an impression in the polls, clocking in at around 1 percent, but the former Republican National Committee chairman had an outsize influence in the world of GOP insiders. Today, other candidates have one less competitor to worry about and a host of liberated political professionals looking for somewhere to land.

“There are a lot of other potential nominees who are breathing a big sigh of relief today,” says Ed Gillespie, another former RNC chairman and a longtime friend of the Mississippi governor. “He would have been very formidable contender. He had locked up a lot of talent in the early states.” The 2012 field, Gillespie notes, is now more “muddied and unformed” with Barbour’s absence.

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Vin Weber, a former top strategist for Mitt Romney and current adviser to Tim Pawlenty, says Barbour’s exit “opens up a huge field of donors, activists, and operatives to the other candidates. Haley had a broad reservoir of good will among those people.”

Barbour’s talented political staff will likely be coveted by numerous campaigns, starting with high-profile strategist Mike Dennehy, who spearheaded Sen. John McCain’s New Hampshire victories in 2000 and 2008. “This makes Dennehy, the two-time defending champion from McCain world, a free agent,” observes James Pindell, the political director for WMUR-TV in Manchester. Pindell expects fledgling candidates with McCain connections, such as former Utah governor Jon Huntsman, or perhaps even Donald Trump, who is visiting the Granite State later this week, to make a play for his services.

But Weber guesses that talent is probably not as available to Mitt Romney. “Since Romney is the frontrunner, people who have not already decided to be with Romney are less likely to go with Romney,” Weber says.

Sources tell NRO that the reaction at Barbour headquarters this afternoon was “shock,” that the governor kept the decision to himself until minutes before he released the statement. It is believed that only Henry Barbour, the governor’s nephew and senior political adviser, and a cluster of top aides were aware of the decision before today.

Indeed, the news caught even close Barbour allies off guard. “I’m both surprised and disappointed,” says Jim Nicholson, who worked with Barbour at the RNC then succeeded him as chairman. “I actually thought that he would run. The last time that I spoke with him, I got the impression that he was going to run.”

“He would have brought a lot to the primary debate,” Nicholson says. “He is an amicable conservative who is really strong on policy. He knows how to have a vigorous debate without offending other camps, keeping the focus on the issues. Haley is one smart cookie. He doesn’t look like a policy wonk, but he is one. This is a loss for our party.”

In his brief time considering a run, Barbour generated controversy earlier this year when he openly questioned the extent of U.S. involvement in foreign wars, wondering aloud whether President Obama’s troop surge in Afghanistan was smart policy.

By bowing out, Barbour leaves the field devoid of an anti-interventionist. Still, his brief dip into those waters drew notice from fellow potential candidates. John Bolton, the former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations who is mulling a bid, tells NRO that Barbour was “right to question nation-building as a foreign policy,” and was a respected contender. “We should advance American interests, not engage in international nanny-ism,” Bolton says.

So why did Barbour pull up short? Gillespie tells NRO that he is not reading into the official statement. “One of the things about Haley is, you can take his comments at face value,” he says. “It’s all right there in the statement. As he looked at the extent of the personal commitment it would require over the course of the next decade, he said, ‘You know, I am not sure if I can guarantee that fire in the belly.’ He has been around long enough to know that if you can’t guarantee that fire in the belly, you ought not to run, that it would not be fair to your party or to your supporters.”

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COMMENTS   9

EXPAND  

   04/25/11 19:38

The Republican field, so far (sans Bolton), makes me sad in my pants.

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Campaignforliberty
   04/25/11 20:10

"By bowing out, Barbour leaves the field devoid of an anti-interventionist." What about Ron Paul? He'll almost certainly run, and the environment is ripe for him now. And he is the only conservative hopeful whose fundraiser ability can rival Obama's...

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Janet beihoffer
   04/25/11 20:49

From this report, it appears Barbour is the ultimate team player, a man who understands what is at stake in this election. He knows himself, his strengths and his weaknesses - he assessed them and decided for the good of the nation he won't run.

It pains me - I heard him speak two years ago and was very impressed. However, the 2012 election is not a cyclical election - it is a make or break (as will 2014 and 2016) for our nation. We either get it back on track, or things will go bad, really fast. The Rs don't have all the answers but the Ds have no answers other than to take us down the tubes.

Barbour understands this - he'll help whoever gets the endorsement and do everything for us to win the presidency in 2012.

Thank you, Governor Barbour.

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   04/25/11 22:18

Seriously, that crack about the field being without a non-interventionist was either a deliberate swipe, or really lazy.

Seeing how Rep. Paul is the only member of the field that pretty much anticipated-- publicly and unapologetically-- everything that is going on with the economy right now one wonders what he has to do to get the same mainstream buzz, as, oh, I don't know, maybe an imbecile like Trump.

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allen
   04/26/11 08:10

Romney's the one!

The only GOP candidate that matches up against the Top issues of 2012.........jobs, growing the economy, addressing massive deficits, entitlement reform, and repealing Obamacare.......

Romney is the only GOP candidate that can beat Obama in the general election.............all polls are showing that FACT now.......

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   04/26/11 08:39

I shall only support the one who's name must not be spoken....I want Darth (I mean Dick) Cheney

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Paul Charles
   04/26/11 10:09

I'm glad I'm not the only one who instantly thought of Dr. Paul when I read "no noninterventionist" in the field.

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   04/26/11 10:16

This is a big disappointment and a big loss for the GOP and for America. I can't think of anyone else in the GOP right now who would be a better candidate than Haley Barbour would have been.

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   04/27/11 18:01

I think Haley Barbour is the most qualified plausible candidate for the GOP nomination, but he would have a hard time winning a presidential election as a white man from Mississippi. Its terribly unfair that there is such bigotry toward people like him, but that is the world we live in at the moment. Therefore, Governor Barbour made the right choice to pull out of the GOP presidential nomination race.

He would make an excellent presidential chief of staff. Hopefully, our next president can find a very high level position for Governor Barbour.

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