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The Real Culprits
How the Democrats nearly destroyed the economy.

By Mona Charen


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History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it. — Winston Churchill

There is history — a chronicle of human events — and then there is perceived history. So often, the two are wildly at odds.

In 1963, a popular Democratic president was assassinated by a Marxist named Oswald, who had actually defected to the Soviet Union and returned to the U.S. with a Soviet wife, was an active member of the Fair Play for Cuba Committee, and had attempted to assassinate a right-wing general named Edwin Walker earlier in the year.

Yet those who write history found these facts inconvenient. They created a different history in which the “atmosphere of hate” in the southern city of Dallas, Texas, led to terrible political violence. In other words, it was political conservatism that led to Kennedy’s assassination. This perceived history was recycled as recently as the shooting of Rep. Gabrielle Giffords. ABC’s Christiane Amanpour, interviewing Jean Kennedy Smith, noted that the Kennedy assassination was “eerily relevant” and asked Kennedy to evaluate the “political atmosphere” in the country today.

Starting just a few years after the Kennedy assassination, American liberals began to consider anti-Communism a kind of mental disorder. Hostility to Communism was akin to racism, sexism, and other character flaws. Reagan’s description of the Soviet Union as an “evil empire” cemented liberal suspicions that Reagan was a dangerous buffoon. Yet starting in 1989, when the Berlin Wall fell, liberals began to find their anti-anti-Communism embarrassing. And so they created a perceived history — one in which the Cold War was a time of consensus, a time when, as former senator Bill Bradley put it, “We knew where we stood on foreign policy.”

More recently we’ve witnessed the creation of a new historical narrative about the financial crisis of 2008. The perceived history, eagerly peddled by liberals and Democrats, is that the crash of 2008 was the result of Wall Street’s greed. It was unregulated capitalism that brought us to the brink of financial meltdown, the Democrats insisted. And they codified their manufactured history into a law, the Dodd-Frank Act, that completely avoided the true problem.

It’s both surprising and gratifying therefore to report that a great revisionist history has just been published by none other than a New York Times reporter, Gretchen Morgenson, and a financial analyst, Joshua Rosner.

In Reckless Endangerment, Morgenson and Rosner offer considerable censure for reckless bankers, lax rating agencies, captured regulators, and unscrupulous businessmen. But the greatest responsibility for the collapse of the housing market and the near “Armageddon” of the American economy belongs to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and to the politicians who created and protected them. With a couple of prominent exceptions, the politicians were Democrats claiming to do good for the poor. Along the way, they enriched themselves and their friends, stuffed their campaign coffers, and resisted all attempts to enforce market discipline. When the inevitable collapse arrived, the entire economy suffered, but no one more than the poor.

Jim Johnson, advisor to Walter Mondale and John Kerry, amassed a personal fortune estimated at $100 million during his nine years as CEO of Fannie Mae. “Under Johnson,” Morgenson and Rosner write, “Fannie Mae led the way in encouraging loose lending practices among the banks whose loans the company bought. A Pied Piper of the financial sector, Johnson led both the private and public sectors down a path that led directly to the credit crisis of 2008.”

Fannie Mae lied about its profits, intimidated adversaries, bought off members of Congress with lavish contributions, hired (and thereby co-opted) academics, purchased political ads (through its foundation), and stacked congressional hearings with friendly bankers, community activists, and advocacy groups (including ACORN). Fannie Mae also hired the friends and relations of key members of Congress (including Rep. Barney Frank’s partner).

Reckless Endangerment includes the Clinton administration’s contribution to the home-ownership catastrophe. Clinton had claimed that dramatically increasing homeownership would boost the economy; instead, “in just a few short years, all of the venerable rules governing the relationship between borrower and lender went out the window, starting with . . . the requirement that a borrower put down a substantial amount of cash in a property, verify his income, and demonstrate an ability to service his debts.”

Reckless Endangerment utterly deflates the perceived history of the 2008 crash. Yes, there was greed — when is there not? But it was government distortions of markets — not “unregulated capitalism” — that led the economy to disaster.

Mona Charen is a nationally syndicated columnist. © 2011 Creators Syndicate, Inc.

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COMMENTS   48

EXPAND  

Yehouda Harpaz
   06/24/11 06:52

How does this square with the fact that the republicans conrol the congress in 1994-2006, and have elected president 2000-2008?

Yehouda Harpaz
Cambridge UK

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CapnBill
   06/24/11 08:53

Well, I'd like to know how this squares with the fact the Beatles were from Liverpool, and played in a Skiffle band in the 1950s.

If you reread the article carefully, you'll see that Ms Charen states that Ms Morgenson and Mr Rosner claim political interference and market distortion are the causes of the financial crisis, rather than the widely assumed cause of "unfettered capitalism", which, by the way, we haven't had in this country for quite some time. I don't see anything in her article blaming one or the other party, except that there were a number of powerful Democrats (even in the minority), as well as Republicans, who corruptly participated in this distortion.

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   06/24/11 11:19
   06/24/11 08:22

By the time that George W. Bush became suspicious of Fannie and Freddie there was a Democratic Congress in place. Along with Jim Johnson, you can add the name of Franklin Raines who cooked the books in order to line his own pockets.

Barney Frank and Chris Dodd were the most culpable of all. They pushed for sub-prime loans and then vouched for the financial soundness of Fannie and Freddie.

If,as in the past, lenders held the mortgages or sold them in the public markets the underwriting would have been different. It was the norm to require a 20 -25% down so that the homeowner had substantial skin in the game, so to speak. The lender would verify employment and other debt obligations. With the federally directed sub-prime loans they did not.

This financial meltdown can be laid at the feet of the federal government pure and simple. It is a good example of why the government should monitor but stay out of the private sector markets. They will screw up healthcare in the same way they screwed up the housing and mortgage industry.

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   06/26/11 18:31

IndyMac collapsed first mid 2008, it was Chuck Schumer's disclosure of the state of IndyMac's books that began the tumble. He pulled the pin on that grenade just in time for the elections.

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   06/24/11 08:24

@yehouda
"You Tube" has video of the House Banking Committee from 2004 that might help answer your question.
External Link 

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   06/24/11 09:03

Dear Ms. Charen:
It cannot be the case that Democrats are or were responsible for the current financial mess; statute limits the assignment of blame. It is the sound members of society who are, and always have been responsible for our collective successes and failures. It is a heavy burden that Republicans must answer for their proximate failures as well as for failure to control the Democrats, but it is a duty charged by Nature.

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   06/24/11 09:08

What is your point, Yehouda? Some Republicans actually supported Fannie and Freddie and others wanted to regulate them more strictly, see George Bush and Sen. John McCain and Rep. Ron Paul. It is not a matter of who controlled Congress; Fannie and Freddie sought to escape as much scrutiny as possible and succeeded until it finally caught up with them and the rest of us.

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   06/24/11 09:32

Ms. Charen: I would add two more items to the list, which by themselves are rather innocuous, but in combination can be lethal: The first is the existence of sub-prime loans and the second is the Community Reinvestment Act (CRA). Both of those were passed under Carter, but did not damage until Clinton came along. He used the CRA as a club to threaten banks that did not lend to certain groups. (I note that while Clinton threatened them legally, ACORN [Obama's employer] did so physically. Note to Yehouda Harpaz: Clinton's actions are the reason the Republican Congress is absolved of any wrong-doing here.) The banks used the sub-prime as a vehicle to do the lending. To reduce risk, the sub-primes were packaged with other loans or by themselves to create Collateralized Debt Obligations. The CDOs were excellent risk-reducing vehicles, but had a flaw. The proabability distribution used for pricing was based on a normal distribution which is too optimistic in the tails (i.e., when rare events occur - as when everyone starts defaulting, the probability distribution would not have expected that). It was the CDOs and the insurance used against them (credit default swaps) that became the toxic assets.

Before 2004, Bush's instincts were in the right place: he wanted to rein in Fannie and Freddie, but he was blocked by Barney Frank. After 2005-6, the private market began to reduce funds available for mortgages (I suppose it sensed a problem with those mortgages). A directive went out from HUD to Fannie and Freddie to pick up the slack, and here is where Bush is partly to blame: He did not countermand the order. (As Harry Truman's famous sign said: The Buck Stops Here; and so the buck stopped at Bush's desk, and he dropped it.) Fannie and Freddie did take up the slack, but they were powerless to overcome the avalanche of defaults from the sub-primes and other questionable mortgages. The rest is history, as they say.

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   06/24/11 09:40

"We conclude that these two entities contributed to the crisis, but were not a primary
cause. Importantly, GSE mortgage securities essentially maintained their value
throughout the crisis and did not contribute to the significant financial firm losses
that were central to the financial crisis.
The GSEs participated in the expansion of subprime and other risky mortgages,
but they followed rather than led Wall Street and other lenders in the rush for fool’s
gold. They purchased the highest rated non-GSE mortgage-backed securities and
their participation in this market added helium to the housing balloon, but their purchases
never represented a majority of the market. Those purchases represented 10.5%
of non-GSE subprime mortgage-backed securities in 2001, with the share rising to
40% in 2004, and falling back to 28% by 2008. They relaxed their underwriting standards
to purchase or guarantee riskier loans and related securities in order to meet
stock market analysts’ and investors’ expectations for growth, to regain market share,
and to ensure generous compensation for their executives and employees—justifying
their activities on the broad and sustained public policy support for homeownership.
The Commission also probed the performance of the loans purchased or guaranteed
by Fannie and Freddie. While they generated substantial losses, delinquency
rates for GSE loans were substantially lower than loans securitized by other financial
firms. For example, data compiled by the Commission for a subset of borrowers with
similar credit scores—scores below 660—show that by the end of 2008, GSE mortgages
were far less likely to be seriously delinquent than were non-GSE securitized
mortgages: 6.2% versus 28.3%."

External Link 

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complete curmudgeon
   06/24/11 10:07

Isn't it interesting that MikeB omits this, from the report to which he linked:
"Second, we examined the role of the GSEs, with Fannie Mae serving as the Commission’s
case study in this area. These government-sponsored enterprises had a
deeply flawed business model as publicly traded corporations with the implicit backing
of and subsidies from the federal government and with a public mission. Their trillion mortgage exposure and market position were significant. In  and
, they decided to ramp up their purchase and guarantee of risky mortgages, just
as the housing market was peaking. They used their political power for decades to
ward off effective regulation and oversight—spending  million on lobbying from
 to . They suffered from many of the same failures of corporate governance
and risk management as the Commission discovered in other financial firms.
Through the third quarter of , the Treasury Department had provided  billion
in financial support to keep them afloat."

My copy and paste process didn't work as well as I would like, but the general gist of the issue is here. MikeB just didn't think we'd notice what he left out. Funny how what he left out supports Ms Charen's position.

As I've noted elsewhere, the credibility of America's leftists is gone.

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SJLong_GA
   06/24/11 10:10

MikeB - the issue is that the agencies and the US government forced banks to lend to uncreditworthy borrowers...and encouraged banks to lower the acceptable underwriting. If the government is underwriting loans this way then it must be safe...and they bought most of the loans. The government created the climate w/ their policies. Wall Street created securities and structures to attempt to mitigate the risk. When the whole house of cards collapsed government blamed the people who made money - nevermind that they were pursuing the policies the same morons in government wanted them to. It's not rocket science.

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   06/24/11 10:28

MikeB

That's why the new study is being touted. It doesn't agree with the one you cited, and was specifically authored to refute the one you cited. Thus, holding out that first one as evidence that the second is wrong is fruitless until a comparison of data and methodology is done. I would have presumed that was obvious. Apparently, I somehow managed to give you too much credit. I didn't even think that was possible for me.

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   06/24/11 11:10

Yehouda Harpaz:
1) You assume that the problem started in 2000. As mentioned in the article, the roots go back much further then that.
2) You also seem to feel that just because there is a bare minimum majority of Republicans in congress that they should be able to pass any bill that they want. Surely recent history should dissuade you from that delusion.
3) The Democrats took control of the House in 2006.

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   06/24/11 11:17

Complete Curmudgeon, what you cited appears directly before what I cited. Your passage consists of facts utilized by the commission in support of the conclusions to which those facts led.

What you cited could be summed up in a few words as: "For these and other reasons . . . . " I will show this by laying out the whole passage.

This is where conservatives get really disingenuous. How is the conclusion I cited rendered faulty by the facts the very commission cited (and you quoted) in support of that conclusion? The answer, of course, is that it isn't.

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complete curmudgeon
   06/24/11 11:47

MikeB, we're talking about two different things.

It appears that you want to prove that the GSE's weren't pivotal to the debacle. I understand a liberal's impulse there. No leftie could be comfortable with the concept of a do gooder organization engaged in self dealing that damaged America. The government, according to liberals, is the paradigm of virtue.
But my point is that the GSE's cannot escape this unscathed. At the very minimum the regulatory apparatchiks should have been all over these outfits. But no. The government failed us and has failed us repeatedly.

this cannot bode well for the liberals' dream of a centralized planning state wherein people allegedly smarter than us will order our lives. A series of sentinel failures directly traced to the regulatory apparatus has soured America on the government.

Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse
   06/24/11 11:22

Here is the whole darn thing. Read it carefully. This is 10th grade reading comprehension. What did the Commission say the GSEs' role was?

"Second, we examined the role of the GSEs, with Fannie Mae serving as the Commission’s
case study in this area. These government-sponsored enterprises had a
deeply flawed business model as publicly traded corporations with the implicit backing
of and subsidies from the federal government and with a public mission. Their
$5 trillion mortgage exposure and market position were significant. In 2005 and
2006, they decided to ramp up their purchase and guarantee of risky mortgages, just
as the housing market was peaking. They used their political power for decades to
ward off effective regulation and oversight—spending $164 million on lobbying from
1999 to 2008. They suffered from many of the same failures of corporate governance
and risk management as the Commission discovered in other financial firms.
Through the third quarter of 2010, the Treasury Department had provided $151 billion
in financial support to keep them afloat.

"We conclude that these two entities contributed to the crisis, but were not a primary
cause. Importantly, GSE mortgage securities essentially maintained their value
throughout the crisis and did not contribute to the significant financial firm losses
that were central to the financial crisis.
The GSEs participated in the expansion of subprime and other risky mortgages,
but they followed rather than led Wall Street and other lenders in the rush for fool’s
gold. They purchased the highest rated non-GSE mortgage-backed securities and
their participation in this market added helium to the housing balloon, but their purchases
never represented a majority of the market. Those purchases represented 10.5%
of non-GSE subprime mortgage-backed securities in 2001, with the share rising to
40% in 2004, and falling back to 28% by 2008. They relaxed their underwriting standards
to purchase or guarantee riskier loans and related securities in order to meet
stock market analysts’ and investors’ expectations for growth, to regain market share,
and to ensure generous compensation for their executives and employees—justifying
their activities on the broad and sustained public policy support for homeownership.
The Commission also probed the performance of the loans purchased or guaranteed
by Fannie and Freddie. While they generated substantial losses, delinquency
rates for GSE loans were substantially lower than loans securitized by other financial
firms. For example, data compiled by the Commission for a subset of borrowers with
similar credit scores—scores below 660—show that by the end of 2008, GSE mortgages
were far less likely to be seriously delinquent than were non-GSE securitized
mortgages: 6.2% versus 28.3%."

Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse
   06/24/11 11:31

Iconoclastic Tim: What new study?

"Reckless Endangerment" is a book, not a study. I haven't read it yet (I plan to), but from what I can tell, it's about the incestuous relationship between Wall Street and government a-la the film "Inside Job."

I would not be surprised to find after reading it that Mona Charen has mischaracterized its point the same way Complete Curmudgeon mischaracterized the FCIC's conclusion with respect to the GSEs.

This is intellectual dishonesty at its worst.

But I certainly will read the new book with an open mind.

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Gman
   06/24/11 12:16

Mike B,

What exactly is your interest in Fannie and Freddie?

Since you seem to be the official apologist for them on NRO, I have to conclude you somehow get your bread buttered through their operations.

Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse
   06/24/11 12:21

Hello MikeB!

Interesting post.

What the conclusion states, ultimately, is this.

If the government gets involved in the marketplace, where investors can make foolish or downright stupid decisions, exposing the People to risk, and the marketplace suffers a catastrophe then the people are going to get their hair cut.

In other words, the government should not expose the taxpayers to great risk and they should not craft and enforce feckless, socialist policies that distort the market and add fuel to what is already a volatile environement with substantial risk.

"These government-sponsored enterprises had a deeply flawed business model as publicly traded corporations with the implicit backing of and subsidies from the federal government and with a public mission. Their $5 trillion mortgage exposure and market position were significant."

I would call $5T significant. Of course, I am not thinking of QE1 and QE2 funny money dollars.

"The GSEs participated in the expansion of subprime and other risky mortgages, but they followed rather than led Wall Street and other lenders in the rush for fool’s gold."

Apparently, the government can be just as stupid and reckless as the rest of us. Perhaps they should stay out of things they do not understand or that carry potentially unmanageable or unacceptable risks. Like what any responsible government which genuinely cares for the welfare of the People would do.

"They purchased the highest rated non-GSE mortgage-backed securities and their participation in this market added helium to the housing balloon, but their purchases never represented a majority of the market."

True. The People only got hosed a small amount (still a big azs (sic) amount but small in the aggregate) compared to everyone else but the question remains: Why the heck was Uncle Sam playing in the markets and risking the People's money in the first place!?

"They relaxed their underwriting standards to purchase or guarantee riskier loans and related securities in order to meet stock market analysts’ and investors’ expectations for growth, to regain market share, and to ensure generous compensation for their executives and employees—justifying their activities on the broad and sustained public policy support for homeownership."

Wow! The government distorts the marketplace, curries favor with business, overpays its own employees handsomely and then says this financial exposure for the People (ultimately ending in a catastrophe for the People) is justified in the pursuit of a social policy that is not nor ever has been a part of the federal government's charter.

"While they generated substantial losses, delinquency rates for GSE loans were substantially lower than loans securitized by other financial
firms."

Wow! The government (the People) only got slammed a little compared to how how bad the others faired. Why were the People placed in harm's way in the first place!?

But do not worry as the losses were only "substantial." Never mind the fed has no business taking the risk. Never mind that the fed had no constitutional basis for exposing the People to these risks.

Let me us when you graduate the 10th grade.

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