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A New Deficit Plan
House Republicans are optimistic, but wary.

By Andrew Stiles


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A new deficit-reduction plan unveiled by House GOP leaders on Monday was generally well received by rank-and-file members, who were briefed on the proposal at an afternoon conference meeting. While many expressed a desire to learn more about the plan’s specifics, members were largely optimistic about the path ahead. “It looks good, but we’ve still got to work on it,” freshman representative Bobby Schilling (R., Ill.) said as he exited the meeting.

Even Rep. Allen West (R., Fla.), a freshman and tea-party favorite, told National Review Online that while the plan was a “75 to 80 percent solution,” it was something he could ultimately support. “You know, son, one thing they tell you in the military — if you sit around and wait to come up with the 100 percent plan, then the enemy has probably already attacked you,” he said.

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The House Republican plan, as outlined, would raise the debt ceiling in two steps. The first would allow for a debt increase of about $1 trillion (enough to last until about February or March of 2012) and impose statutory caps on discretionary spending over the next ten years that would yield about $1.2 trillion in savings. Failure to abide by these caps would trigger automatic, across-the-board reductions.

The second step would establish a special joint committee of Congress that would be instructed to produce an additional $1.6 trillion to $1.8 trillion in deficit reduction, presumably through entitlement reform, which would then be sent to Congress for an up-or-down, simple-majority vote. If Congress successfully passes the committee’s proposal, President Obama could then request an additional $1.6 trillion increase to the debt ceiling, subject to a symbolic “resolution of disapproval” in Congress, a process that would mirror the framework put forward by Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell (R., Ky.).

The plan would also require both chambers to consider and vote on a balanced-budget amendment (BBA) to the Constitution sometime between October 1 and the end of the year. According to sources present at the meeting, this was an area of contention among members, some of whom wanted the BBA vote to be held much sooner — as early as this week. “You have to strike while the iron’s hot,” said West. “Let’s do it right now.”

Other members, such as Rep. Bill Flores (R., Texas), a freshman member of the House Budget Committee, agreed. But despite a few minor reservations, Flores told NRO he was “pleased” with the plan overall. “It’s not perfect,” he said. “Unfortunately, very little that’s done up here is perfect. But it is, I think, very thoughtfully put together.” He praised the plan for outlining a path that “measurably moves the United States toward fiscal soundness,” and predicted it would pass the House.

Rep. James Lankford (R., Okla.) said he and other members were awaiting the official scoring from the Congressional Budget Office to get a sense of the details of the $1.2 trillion in cuts that are being proposed. He also expressed concern that the special joint committee could open the door for tax increases if its task is “deficit reduction” rather than “spending reduction,” though he acknowledged that any proposal would have to be approved by the House. In a briefing with reporters earlier in the day, a senior GOP aide brushed aside these concerns. “We appoint members to the committee, and we’re not appointing any Republicans who will vote for tax hikes,” the aide said.

Not everyone was so convinced. Rep. Tim Huelskamp (R., Kan.), a conservative freshman, told NRO he was disappointed that the plan did not appear to “reflect the principles” of the House-passed “Cut, Cap, and Balance” legislation. “We’re still looking for the cuts, the caps haven’t been identified, and the BBA has been dropped,” he said. “Cut, Cap, and Balance” would have mandated the passage of a BBA, so that it could be sent to the states, rather than a mere vote on one. Huelskamp said putting this requirement back in would be the only way to ensure that future spending cuts are carried out. “The BBA is the standard by which we measure real progress in Washington,” he said. “This is the time you push and say, we’re sticking to our principles. It’s not the time to punt to October, to punt to next year, or punt to the next election.”

Rep. Jim Jordan (R., Ohio), chairman of the Republican Study Committee, the conservative caucus that was largely responsible for drafting “Cut, Cap and Balance,” came out in opposition to the plan. “While I thank the speaker for fighting for Republican principles, I cannot support the plan that was presented to House Republicans this afternoon,” he said in a statement. “Washington wants a deal. Americans want a solution. The Senate should resume debate on the Cut, Cap, and Balance Act, amend it if necessary, and pass it, so we can provide the American people a real solution.”

Without (at minimum) a BBA requirement in the plan, Huelskamp said, GOP leaders will have a hard time attracting conservative votes, and will likely face a defection at least as big as the 59-member bloc that opposed the Boehner-Obama spending compromise negotiated in April.

Still, party leaders remain confident they can bring a large majority of their conference on board.“What I saw in there was a very sober assessment of where we are,” said Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R., Texas), the Republican conference chairman. “People have elected John Boehner to be their speaker. A lot of people are ringside, but he’s the only one in the ring. I am hopeful, once again, that 218 Republicans will come together.”

“We’ll have to see,” Lankford said. “I think everybody’s going to have to read it. There was a lot of enthusiasm over the initial idea, but is there 218? I don’t know.”

— Andrew Stiles is a 2011 Franklin Fellow.

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COMMENTS   21

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   07/25/11 19:20

I like this approach. Puts the football back in play before the elections but pressures the administration to agree to further reductions in order to keep it off the voting radar.

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   07/25/11 19:31

I don't get it. Our current budget deficit is over 1.5T. Lets say for sake of argument that over the next 10 yrs it averages 1.2T .. thats 12T increase in debt. This proposal would lower it by 1.2T and if the democrats suddenly get deficit religion (yeah right!) it might give us another 1.7T in savings from entitlements (which could be higher taxes/and or benefits cuts). A promise for a vote for BBA? How will this go given what happened with CCB?

Our debt will still increase by 9-10T over 10yrs. This will have to be paid by taxes or printed money. Is that why we vote republican?

So instead of hitting the wall at 150mph we hit the wall at 120mph? Such a deal!

I stand with Jim Jordan.

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Constance
   07/25/11 20:30

All I had to read was: statutory caps on discretionary spending over the next ten years that would yield about $1.2 trillion in savings.

Nope. Doesn't add up. This is no deal. This is garbage.

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   07/25/11 21:08

9+PM EST------are you hearing what i'm hearing???? POTUS is ignorant of American resillience; likely never was asked to give up anything. This man is a mouthpiece for the special interests----including and especially himself.

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   07/25/11 21:31

Speaker Boehner-----you are RIGHT. If America is going to come down, let it be on the head of Nero...he can fiddle, but he can't play... 9:18 EST

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Anonymous Academic
   07/25/11 21:41

Given how meaningless the "debt ceiling" has become, does anyone really believe that future congresses will stick to a "statutory cap on discretionary spending"? That $1.2 trillion is utterly meaningless. Also, you can't claim that you're cutting $1.6-$1.8 trillion just because you've asked a "special joint committee" to come up with a plan. All I see here is the Republicans kicking the can down the road.

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Paul W
   07/25/11 21:54

Take one bite off the apple now, and finish it off when we get the White House. The main goal needs to be give Obama nothing to help him win re-election. If the plan does that, I won't complain.

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   07/25/11 23:35

Dear Federal Government,

We are way, way beyond broke.

You spent all the golden eggs.

You borrowed everyone else's golden eggs and spent them too.

You have to STOP the spending or we are TOAST.

And through excessive regulation, you're doing an excellent job in killing the goose that even makes those golden eggs possible.

Are you doing this on purpose-because it seems like you are.

We really need to talk. We'll be at the town hall meetings...see you there.

Sincerely,

Your bosses the American taxpayers

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Duke of Sharron
   07/25/11 23:41

This idea of agreeing to vote on a bba, rather than to pass a bba, sounds like a cheap ploy to appease us true conservatives. If the bba vote was going to pass, then a bba itself would make it into the bill.

This plan will balance the budget just like that vote to secure the border. No politician can resist spending. A middling solution is no solution at all.

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   07/25/11 23:47

I've been an advocate of a deal and a compromise for the short term, but this is a non-starter. Democrats' "cuts" are 100% phony, smoke and mirrors, we've had over a dozen "deficit commissions" over the years already.

If this is the best we can do, the country is doomed and Republicans will share the blame, and deserve some of it.

Give Obama a $500 billion debt ceiling hike with no strings, right now, but declare the next vote will not take place until he has supplied a list of at least that much in CBO-scored actual cuts in this ten-year budget window. Force President Crybaby to put something in writing.

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   07/26/11 00:18

These are not cuts in spending. As usual, they are reductions in the rate of growth. Over the next 10 years, we will add at least 9 trillion under this plan. Bring on the debt ceiling and dare Obama to not pay the interest on the debt. He will have the money; will he really default on the debt? I don't think so.

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   07/26/11 01:39

How soon before Boehner breaks down into sobs?

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   07/26/11 08:19

Try holding your breath.

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   07/26/11 08:24

@apotropoxy
Try holding your breath. May be a life-changing experience.

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   07/26/11 08:24

@apotropoxy
Try holding your breath. May be a life-changing experience.

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Oneoff
   07/26/11 02:23

WASHINGTON—Members of the U.S. Congress reported Tuesday they were continuing to carefully debate the issue of whether or not they should allow the country to descend into a roiling economic meltdown of historically dire proportions. “It is a question that, I think, is worthy of serious consideration: Should we take steps to avoid a crippling, decades-long depression that would lead to disastrous consequences on a worldwide scale? Or should we not do that?” asked House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-VA), adding that arguments could be made for both sides, and that the debate over ensuring America’s financial solvency versus allowing the nation to default on its debt—which would torpedo stock markets, cause mortgage and interests rates to skyrocket, and decimate the value of the U.S. dollar—is “certainly a conversation worth having.” “Obviously, we don’t want to rush to consensus on whether it is or isn’t a good idea to save the American economy and all our respective livelihoods from certain peril until we’ve examined this thorny dilemma from every angle. And if we’re still discussing this matter on Aug. 2, well, then, so be it.” At press time, President Obama said he personally believed the country should not be economically ruined.

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   07/26/11 03:56

So, the Ringmaster in Chief wants to stop the circus. 'Ladies and gentleman, boys and girls, children of all ages....". The clowns, acrobats, tumblers, lion tamers and bareback riders disagree. The show must go on. It is the 'greatest show on earth' and we payed for it.

Beneath the greasepaint, teleprompter bravura and gaudy backdrop beats the heart of a poseur. Nice try but no sale.

We payed for the 'greatest show on earth' and we want to see the end of the show. Chills and thrills and

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   07/26/11 05:51

BO would rather see our Constitutional democracy collaps rather than go down in Hx (history) as the WORST pres ever to hold office. He is a political kaleidoscope --ever changing, never the same vision--with one eye on 2012, and the other on his place in history )hx). Is this really what we have been reduce to? Did the American Rev. say nothing more than wait for your own manarchy to take power??' Pathetic narcissism can be presented in many ways as we have seem----but at it's roots, it stale populus indifference. Here we find BO

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   07/26/11 05:54
John Lennon
   07/26/11 11:00

just love watching the GOP stumble around the wilderness getting no closer to home

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