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The World According to Huntsman
He might be closer to the tea partiers than it seems.

By Elise Jordan


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Last week, former Utah governor and current Republican presidential candidate Jon Huntsman found an audience for his foreign-policy views, engaging a packed auditorium at Dartmouth College in New Hampshire. He opened his talk by answering a question that all contenders for the Oval Office have asked themselves: Why would anyone be crazy enough to run for president? His answer: We haven’t gotten the hope we were promised. “I can’t stand the thought that we are about to hand down the greatest country there ever was to your generation less competitive, saddled with debt, and less hopeful than the country I got,” he said.

In his wide-ranging speech, Huntsman outlined a vision for America’s engagement with the world that would mark a major shift from what we’ve seen over the past decade. He would reorder our priorities away from the War on Terror and toward international trade and economic policy. “One of the great voids in our foreign policy today is that we aren’t doing free-trade agreements,” he told me in an interview. “We are known for our commitment to liberty, democracy, and free trade. Open markets. That light isn’t shining right now.” More to the point: “The future of the United States is not going to be determined by firefights on the Hindu Kush,” Huntsman said.

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Not since George H. W. Bush has a Republican presidential candidate had such hands-on experience in international relations. Like the 41st president, Huntsman is a veteran Asia hand, having served most recently as ambassador to China. His informal policy advisers include former H. W. Bush national-security adviser Brent Scowcroft. Huntsman started his career under Ronald Reagan, landing his first job as a staff assistant at the White House. He’s lived overseas four times, speaks fluent Mandarin, and has served as a U.S. trade representative and an ambassador to Singapore. He blends the experience of Bush with what he calls the “bold, confident, internationalist” policy of Reagan. He’s a self-described foreign-policy “realist,” but these views are buoyed by a “Reagan-esque optimistic view” of the world.

Huntsman’s reception so far from Republicans has been somewhat subdued. He’s gotten heat for serving as Obama’s envoy to China, a criticism he dismisses, noting the old maxim that politics ends at the water’s edge and the long tradition of bipartisanship in international affairs. (Huntsman dealt directly with Obama twice during his tenure: His only one-on-one meeting with Obama was when he was given the job as ambassador, and he interacted with the president again during Obama’s China visit — a surprising lack of engagement for a chief executive who had claimed to make Asia a priority.)

Huntsman is the only Republican candidate to endorse Speaker John Boehner’s debt-ceiling plan despite its perceived unpopularity among conservatives — a sign that just because he’s running for president doesn’t mean he’s going to start to pander. He thinks the best way to have leverage abroad is to ensure a strong economy at home — to “get our house in order,” as he puts it — and so raising the debt ceiling is a necessity.

His views, though, may prove to be much more popular among tea-party conservatives (and New Hampshire primary voters) than one might at first assume. Tea partiers, like so many other Americans, are fed up with the decade-long war in Afghanistan. Huntsman has made it clear he’s ready to wind it down, leaving behind only a nimble and aggressive counterterrorism force. Although the Pentagon and the commanders on the ground are still pressing to keep as many nation-building troops in Afghanistan for as long as possible, Huntsman said he’ll trust his own instincts. (Unlike frontrunner Mitt Romney, who said he’ll do what the generals tell him to do.) “I’ve been engaged in that part of the world for many years, and I lived next door for the last two years,” he said. “We’ve already had wins for the United States [in Afghanistan]. We can’t wish for stability more than they want it.” And though he’s been portrayed as too moderate for the Republican base, he has a consistent pro-life record, is a big Second Amendment supporter, and enacted the largest tax cuts in Utah’s history.

He’s taken a somewhat skeptical view of the Arab Spring, seeing it as less about democratization and more about the hatred of longstanding dictatorships. He’s opposed to military involvement in Libya — at Dartmouth, he sharply questioned the intervention in Libya as a national-security interest — and instead advocates diplomacy utilizing institution building and economic incentives. “Involving our military, I think, is a bridge too far,” Huntsman said. The aftermath of the political earthquakes shaking the region will be a “very murky situation” for years to come. “We need to make sure our friends and our allies know that they are friends and allies,” he says, specifically citing Israel as America’s “most meaningful relationship in the Middle East” but one that is “in tatters right now.”

At Dartmouth, a number of primary voters told me they had already narrowed down their choices to Romney and Huntsman. “I couldn’t support a candidate who would default on the national debt,” said Richard Sansing, an accounting professor at Dartmouth’s Tuck Business School. “There are reasonable candidates, and there are unreasonable candidates.” Another New Hampshire resident, David Dawley, who voted for Obama last time, said he was going to support Huntsman in 2012. Clearly, Huntsman has strong appeal to independents, onetime Obama voters, and moderate Republicans, which would make him the biggest threat to Democrats in the general election.

He’ll have to continue to make those kinds of inroads to compete this fall. Huntsman has 21 staffers on the ground in New Hampshire — triple the size of any other candidate’s operation — and the Granite State will be Huntsman’s main focus going forward. His biggest problem now is name recognition; he polls at 1 percent. Campaign staffers tell me that in the fall he’ll go on the air with paid advertising, which could help solve that problem. He’ll have to overcome any lingering suspicions from the base, of course, but that’s not out of the question, especially once voters start to seriously tune in. He’s carefully explained how he looks at the world; now it’s time for the world — or at least the area of the world running from Hanover to Manchester to Portsmouth — to take a careful look at Huntsman.

 Elise Jordan is a New York–based writer and commentator. She served as a director for communications in the National Security Council in 2008–09 and was a speechwriter for Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice.

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COMMENTS   20

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   08/01/11 08:45

Besides being Obama-lite, I don't trust Huntsman for the simple reason that he's the MSM's current flavor of the month, and frankly, nothing he says is going to convince me otherwise. This manipulative nonsense of the MSM promoting their little pet candidate has got to stop. It casts serious doubt upon you at NRO that you're now giving credence to who the MSM wants to see as the Republican candidate.

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   08/01/11 09:07

This reads like a paid advertisement for Huntsman. For a former employee of the National Security Council, Ms Jordan is rather cavalier about his policy of moving away from the War on Terror to concentrate on trade, etc. An American President must secure the nation against its external enemies (many of them are terrorists) while executing trade policies that are good for the nation.

Ms. Jordan tries to downplay Huntsman's role in the Obama Administartion. Which is probably true because Obama leans on Samantha Powers, Valarie Jarrett, and other ideologues for his dangerously incompetent foreign policy. But she fails to mention that Huntsman sent President Obama a letter in which he praises the President's policies and sounds like a Chinese bureaucrat praising the wisdom of Mao. If Huntsman gains political traction, which is unlikely, he will be exposed as an opportunist who tried to curry favor with one of the worst presidents in American History.

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   08/01/11 09:15

I don't know who this writer is, but why does the GOP press seem to care so much about Huntsman? He consistently polls under 2% in every single environment of the GOP. He is a distant second in the coveted Utah Mormon Candidate category. The more people know him, the less they like him.

And yet...there are two columns on Huntsman in NR right now. Why?

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   08/01/11 09:27

Jerome, Four years ago they (including NR) did all they could to promote Romney even though Romney needed critics on the Right not apologists.

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   08/01/11 09:53

I don't trust Huntsman because the beltway GOP is pushing him so hard. Tea Party my eye!

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Grass roots
   08/01/11 11:35

This is silliest, weakest column I have ever read on the NRO.

Needless to say Ms. Jordan, we are NOT fooled by your poll-tested talking points.

Bottom line: Huntsman has almost NOTHING in common with the Tea Party movement and conservatives.

One huge example of which is his support of mass amnesty for illegal aliens -- which would grow budgets, increase taxes and harm jobless citizens.

It will be fun to watch when RINO Huntsman drops out.

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   08/01/11 12:02

Surely Mr. Huntsman is not running for President is he? I felt sure he had dropped out. Oh well.

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Liz Elle
   08/01/11 12:18

According to Intrade....

it is former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman that the markets see as the most powerful GOP contender for the fall of 2012. With a .150 probability of winning the GOP nomination and a .072 probability of winning the Presidency, the Intrade markets imply that Huntsman would have a 0.48 probability of taking the Presidency. ;)

External Link 

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   08/01/11 12:20

Huntsman and Johnson are the only Republican candidates I am sure I would vote for. Pawlenty and Romney, maybe. The rest, no way.

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Marco
   08/02/11 15:22

Hey, Ostep, so it's either a dope or a doper for you, eh? Stick with Obama, thanks, and stay out of the Republican Party. We can make our own mess without your help.

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Liz Elle
   08/01/11 12:23

All the candidates have major drawbacks. Jon is head and shoulders above the crowd. Better pay attention to this guy. According to Intrade...

But it is former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman that the markets see as the most powerful GOP contender for the fall of 2012. With a .150 probability of winning the GOP nomination and a .072 probability of winning the Presidency, the Intrade markets imply that Huntsman would have a 0.48 probability of taking the Presidency from the Republican National Convention’s stage in Tampa, Florida. In other words, to bettors, the GOP candidate (and the events correlated with each candidate’s fortunes) matters markedly. Conditional on his winning the nomination, they would give Huntsman almost even odds of becoming President in 2012.

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   08/01/11 14:04

@ Liz Elle - that's an outdated June 8 story. Things can change a lot in eight weeks.

Using the latest Intrade close figures, Perry is regarded as having a 15.8% chance of being elected president vs. a 32% chance of winning the nomination - therefore a 49.4% chance of beating Obama if he is the nominee.

Romney: 13.3% vs. 29.4% = 45.2%

Huntsman: 2.8% vs. 7.3% = 38.4%

Bachmann: 2.8% vs. 5.1% = 54.9%

Obviously anything that suggests Bachmann is the most electable candidate calls the validity of relying on the data into question. The reality is that Intrade can be influenced by a small number of traders, many of them foreign and/or otherwise clueless. Also, lack of liquidity in many of the contracts renders their data of little use for analysis. Huntsman and Bachmann are trading at such low (both price and volume) levels that one or two erratic trades (or failures to remove outdated bids or asks) could make it seem erroneaously as if Bachmann really would be the strngest candidate. So the good news is, Huntsman probably isn't as weak as this data would make it appear, anymore than Bachmann is as strong.

Perry (and Romney) have a good deal more activity and higher prices, so the figures regarding them might be a little less irrelevant.

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hmastercylinder
   08/01/11 22:21

I smell Bushie! And I, nor anyone I know and respect, will ever forgive the Bushies.
Turncoats are the worst, and the male Bushies have some extremely Democratic ideas. What ever possessed Poppa Bush to say, "No new taxes", if he was gonna cave? Because he thinks he's so frikkin' smart, and he thinks he is regal, so beyond questioning. I screamed at the TV when he caved for 20 minutes. And GW was Bush I with no brains at all! The number of stupid things he did that slipped off the scope because of the War on Terror is truly amazing! His careless treatment of the steel and cement embargoes to protect his buddies and skyrocket their prices destroyed the construction industry at a time when it was the entire engine of the economy, yet you have probably never heard of it. He created this economic mess, just like his stupid Pop caused the recession that got Clinton elected, by caving in to taxes!
I'm sorry. If you come from the Bush stable, you are tarred as an idiot, and a turncoat. Go somewhere else and get a job.
That includes Dana Perrino, Colin Powell, and Condoleeza. RINOs all!
If Jeb is so interested in education, go teach a class! Given the stupidity and carelessness of his family, maybe he should take one. Say, economics 101.
And Shame on NRO! How long are you going to carry water for these idiots?

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Dave from Ohio
   08/02/11 02:06

So this author wants us to support (until recently) a loyal Obama employee, a classic elitist RINO who believes in the climate change hysteria and amnesty for illegals.

Can you say McCain 2008.

What a joke. No matter how many times these shills try to force Huntsman upon us, we are not fooled. He is going nowhere.

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   08/02/11 09:44

Huntsman's World? A dream world, as he has about as much chance of becoming the GOP nominee as George Zoros.

However, if his intent was to attract attention to himself, or at least the attention of a MSM that just loves 'moderate' Republicans, he's doing a great job...scratch that, he's doing a really good job...scratch that...um, well, he's positioning himself to be loved by the media...

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   08/02/11 09:47

LOL...elitists at Dartmouth love Romney or John 'Ralph Lauren clothing model' Hunstman..

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   08/02/11 15:27

Huntsman actually said that Obama's stimulus package had been too SMALL.

External Link 

And that, folks, is all I need to know about Huntsman.

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207boy
   08/26/11 23:51

take another look, Huntsman says he was talking about the TAX CUTS in it being too small, as in the stimulus should have included more tax rate decreases.

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GCullison
   08/02/11 18:19

Nice to know that Huntsman supports more Free Trade agreements. Considering that we've already devastated our domestic manufacturing capability, I have to wonder what the point is. Can the Koreans sell us something that the Chinese aren't already selling us? Are there some more industries we can set up in Korea to destroy more American businesses? Free Trade is a huge part of our economic problems.

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