Crystal Ball 2013
Looking ahead.


I don’t quite know what happened this past year, but the future is a piece of cake. Looking out to the next year, I clearly foresee:

We will not cheer up in 2013. The conservative funk will continue through the year.

Obamacare will experience “unexpected” glitches as the date of full implementation approaches. None of President Obama’s predictions about the beneficial effects of Obamacare will materialize. But that’s okay. We don’t remember what they were anyway.

Steven Spielberg’s Lincoln will win the Academy Award for Best Picture, and Daniel Day-Lewis will win the Academy Award for Best Actor for his portrayal of the president. No one will observe that the film destroys the progressive critique of Lincoln first articulated by Richard Hofstadter in The American Political Tradition that virtually all bright high-school students in American-history classes absorb one way or another.

Sales of guns and ammunition will set new records. Despite the current political/media hysteria, rifles will remain among the least likely weapons of choice for murderers, trailing behind (according to the FBI’s Uniform Crime Reports) knives, blunt objects (clubs, hammers, etc.), and personal weapons (hands, fists, feet, etc.).

Scott Johnson is a Minneapolis attorney and contributor to Power Line.

Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Bobby Jindal will speak at a remarkable number of Lincoln Day dinners.

Kelly Ayotte’s profile will continue to rise.

Jeb Bush will take full advantage of presidential-speculation buzz.

Hillary Clinton will be on the cover of Vogue (again).

The metaphor of the circular firing squad will be commonly used to describe the right side of the aisle in Washington, D.C.

Immigration-policy discussions will get silly before they get serious.

Chuck Todd will be hired away by ABC to host This Week.

Matt Drudge and Rush Limbaugh will do things both consistent and innovative.

The pope will say something fundamental on Twitter that will become inexplicably controversial.

Catholics will confront the secularist threat within in a more meaningful way.

“Gangnam Style” will be replaced by another earworm.

Blake Shelton and Miranda Lambert will wisely resist offers for a lucrative reality-TV contract.

Religious liberty will continue to be redefined in the United States.

Dissidents under tyrannies abroad will sound alarms over our indifference.  

— Kathryn Jean Lopez is editor-at-large of National Review Online.

As Republican leaders urge support for an immigration amnesty (which will pass, covering not just the arguably deserving children of illegal aliens but their parents as well), no one will explain what will remain of immigration enforcement under the newly bipartisan view that it is the laws, not the voluntary decisions to break them, that are to blame for “separating families.”

— Heather Mac Donald is a John M. Olin fellow at the Manhattan Institute and a contributing editor to City Journal.

Without the pressure to win another election, a self-absorbed President Obama will underestimate the importance of keeping his political fences mended. By the end of 2013, the punditry will be talking about the growing isolation of the White House.

— Charles Murray is a scholar at the American Enterprise Institute and the author of Coming Apart.