One more set of data points–building on the earlier partisan voter heat map–that takes a look at voter turnout breakdown not by county, but by Congressional District.
The latest numbers show a sizeable advantage for Republicans in CO-3 (7,000 votes) and a commanding lead in CO-4 (12,000). Republican Scott Tipton is challenging three-term Democratic incumbent Rep. John Salazar in CO-3, while Republican Cory Gardner takes on freshman incumbent Democrat Rep. Betsy Markey in CO-4.
A recent poll from The Hill shows Tipton leading Salazar, 47 to 43, with a 15 percent advantage among independents.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has already abandoned Markey, who faces a tough uphill climb against Gardner in the historically conservative 4th Congressional District.
That both parties are gearing up for recounts is no secret, given the competitive nature of the races. This is particularly true in CO-7, which was the closest Congressional race in 2002–decided by just over 100 votes. Rep. Ed Perlmutter, a two-term incumbent Democrat, faces black Republican Ryan Frazier. There is a narrow Democratic lead in early CO-7 returns as of October 27, just under 3,000 votes.
Here are the partisan breakdowns from October 27 for CO-3, CO-4, and CO-7–and the earlier numbers for all seven Congressional districts as of Monday, October 25:
REP–28,996 DEM–31,826 UAF–17,883
REP–35,320 DEM–28,345 UAF–15,981
REP–35,047 DEM–23,090 UAF–18,317
REP DEM UAF
Tot. 183,516 160,531 95,153
CD1 10,570 26,123 9,077
CD2 20,396 26,463 14,882
CD3 28,458 23,399 12,800
CD4 28,865 19,268 14,810
CD5 27,786 13,434 11,255
CD6 44,178 25,907 18,338
CD7 23,263 25,937 13,991