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Connecticut’s Electoral Maps (CT-5)
Tags: Conn.
In Connecticut’s fifth congressional district, Democratic incumbent Chris Murphy beat Republican challenger Sam Caligiuri, 54 to 46 percent. Because results from New Fairfield haven’t been reported yet, I colored that town gray until further notice.

Here’s the 2006 map from CT Local Politics:

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Connecticut’s Electoral Maps (CT-4)
Tags: Conn.
In Connecticut’s fourth congressional district, Democratic incumbent Jim Himes beat Republican challenger Dan Debicella — though we’re unsure by how much yet. It’s clear that Himes’s margin in Bridgeport must be substantial for Debicella conceded relatively early last night. Here’s the 2010 map based on AP’s latest numbers:

And here’s 2006, when Himes beat longtime Republican incumbent Chris Shays.

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Connecticut’s Electoral Maps (CT-3)
Tags: Conn.
In Connecticut’s third congressional district, Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro beat Republican challenger Jerry Labriola, 63 to 36 percent. Here’s the new map:

And the 2006 map from CT Local Politics:

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Connecticut’s Electoral Maps (CT-2)
Tags: Conn.
In Connecticut’s second congressional district, Democratic incumbent Joe Courtney beat Republican challenger Janet Peckinpaugh, 60 to 39 percent. Here’s the 2010 map.

And here’s the 2006 map. Remember that in that year, Republican incumbent Rob Simmons lost by only 83 votes to then-challenger Courtney.

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Connecticut’s Electoral Maps (CT-1)
Tags: Conn.
Connecticut Local Politics did political junkies in the Nutmeg State a great service by mapping the state’s electoral results in 2006 and 2008. Using the site’s old maps, I’ve updated them to reflect the 2010 returns. Here’s the first congressional district, in which Democratic incumbent John Larson beat Republican challenger Ann Brickley 61 to 37 percent, according to the Associated Press. I used the AP’s tallies for this map. (Note: Brickley won Torrington by 10.5 percent, making that town a darker shade of red — just barely.)

Here’s the 2006 map from CT Local Politics.

I’ll try to do the congressional districts, senatorial race, and governor’s race. Next up, the second congressional district. Stay tuned.
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Larson Says He’ll Be Dems’ Caucus Chair
Tags: Conn.
CT Capitol Reports circulates a blog post in which Rep. John Larson predicts a “classic confrontation” between President Obama and the incipient Republican House of Representatives.
“President Obama will be Horatio on the bridge,” Larson said. “This will be on the classic confrontation.”
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Murphy Wins in CT-5
Tags: Conn.
And Democrats are five for five in the congressional races. Not a good night for Connecticut Republicans.
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Himes Wins in CT-4
Tags: Conn.
Rep. Jim Himes wins reelection. Democrats hold onto the Gold Coast of Connecticut. The last competitive race left is in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district and things look tough for state senator Sam Caligiuri.
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Polls in Bridgeport to Stay Open Until 10 PM
Tags: Conn.
From Connecticut Bob:
At Himes HQ. Many voters can’t vote because of difficulties with the polls. Just got word from Liz Kerr that specific precincts in Bridgeport will remain open until 10PM. Mayor Finch said he will use the reverse 911 emergency service to notify the citizens who have land telephone lines. 12 total precincts are effected.
Polls are staying open after the Democrats complained about polling stations running out of ballots and people, in frustration, leaving without casting votes.
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Blumenthal’s Campaign: Help!
Tags: Conn.
Dick Blumenthal is the favorite to win tonight but an e-mail from his campaign manager has a curious introduction:
Voter turnout appears to be heavy in areas that benefit our opponent. It is critical that we maximize our efforts to get our supporters to the polls. We need your help!
Your efforts in the next few hours might make the difference.
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Brickley: So Far, So Good
Tags: Conn.
Ann Brickley tells Battle ‘10 that she’s getting positive feedback so far. “Turnout in my hometown of Wethersfield has been looking very good. We spent a good part of the day in Southington. . . . The response we’re getting is tremendous.”
Brickley also hears turnout in East Hartford is high — not necessarily a good sign for her. “I have a group of veterans out there that I just got off the phone with,” she says. “Normally, I would not be happy about that, however, they are adamant that they’ve got the town pretty well covered and they seem to think we have a good percentage of the vote.”
In these last few moments of the campaign, Brickley makes her closing argument: “I just still see a lot of people frustrated by the direction of the country. . . . We need to change that course.” As for the results, she concludes, “We’re going to find out for sure in a few hours.”
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Peckinpaugh: Internals Show Me Surging Ahead
Tags: Conn.
Janet Peckinpaugh tells Battle ‘10 that turnout is high throughout Connecticut’s second congressional district. “In the primary, it was busy in the morning and in the late afternoon, but this has been steady stream,” she says. “I’ll tell ya, we’re seeing good things for us. . . . Our internal polls went from neck-and-neck to me surging ahead and that was with unaffiliated and with Democrats.”
Peckinpaugh says turnout seems high for the smaller towns and low for the cities — a good sign for her. “East Lyme is just crazy busy. I can’t even tell you. We must have seen 200 people within an hour. And that’s a midsized town in the district. Groton, New London, and Norwich were the least busy and those are more substantially sized towns. We haven’t been up north but we’ve heard that the turnout in those towns is really high. That’s how it was in Essex.”
The Republican candidate is running against Rep. Joe Courtney, who beat Republican congressman Rob Simmons in 2006 by only 83 votes. Although conventional wisdom rates Peckinpaugh as less competitive against Courtney than Simmons, tonight’s wave might be big enough to sweep her in.
“If you’re happy with where you are, then you’re happy with the incumbent. If you’re worried about what taxes are coming down the road, then you have a choice and you’re going to vote for me,” Peckinpaugh concludes.
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McMahon Aide: ‘This Could Be the Biggest Upset’
Tags: Conn.
Shawn McCoy, a spokesman for Linda McMahon, tells Battle ‘10 he’s hearing the same things about turnout in Connecticut: It’s higher in Republican areas and lower in Democratic ones. “I think that having those two congressional races over there [in the fourth and fifth districts] — having them be close and having them drive turnout is a big boost to us,” McCoy says. “We’re seeing good turnout in precincts all across the state, especially Trumbull. I know there are some long lines there.”
McMahon voted in Greenwich at 6:30 a.m. this morning. Today, she’s visiting several polling stations throughout the state. Earlier this morning, she greeted voters at different stations with Republican mayors and Lt. Gov. Michael Fedele.
“Linda has proven to be a strong candidate,” McCoy says. “I think this could be the biggest upset in the country tonight.”
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Voter Fraud in Bridgeport?
Tags: Conn.
Chris Healy, chairman of the Connecticut Republican Party, has been tweeting up a storm this morning over allegations of voter fraud in Bridgeport. Now, Dan Debicella’s campaign sends this press release:
“Today, multiple instances of voter fraud are being reported in Bridgeport,” said Debicella spokeswoman Ashley Maagero. “Allegedly, key members of Jim Himes’ staff were actively campaigning in the Registrar of Voters office and later removed for inappropriate activity. Additionally, lawyers from our campaign team were and continue to be denied the ability to obtain results as ballots are counted and tallied in real-time. We are disappointed by these tactics.”
UPDATE: A Connecticut Republican strategist says he hears poll workers have run out of official ballots and are making photocopies of them in Bridgeport. That may be illegal but he’s uncertain. Battle ‘10 will keep its eye on it.
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Caligiuri: ‘We’re on the Verge of a Wave’
Tags: Conn.
State Senator Sam Caligiuri tells Battle ‘10 he expects to win in Connecticut’s fifth congressional district tonight. “We’re seeing some anecdotal and hard evidence that turnout is high in quote, ‘more Republican towns,’ and maybe a little lower in traditionally Democratic towns, but those are all very preliminary numbers,” he says. “I think at the end of the day that turnout will be what it normally is, 55 to 60 percent. But who votes and voter intensity is going to favor challengers and Republicans.”
The Republican candidate started the day in Waterbury, his hometown, before heading north. Now, he’s working his way south through many of the 41 towns that make up the fifth district. As he makes his closing argument, he points to his opening one. “If you think our country is heading in the wrong direction — especially economically — then we have an opportunity to make a change by electing fiscal conservatives. I believe that we’re on the verge of a wave of freshman members [of Congress] who view the world exactly that way.”
Tonight, the places to watch are the cities: Waterbury, Danbury, Meriden, and New Britain. If Caligiuri can garner over 40 percent of the vote in the latter three, he’ll probably beat Rep. Chris Murphy. And there’s even a chance he’ll win Waterbury.
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Debicella: Turnout Strong in Republican Areas
Tags: Conn.
State Senator Dan Debicella tells Battle ‘10 he feels good about his chances of defeating Rep. Jim Himes tonight. “As of eleven o’clock this morning, we’re seeing very strong turnout in towns that we think we’re going to win by significant margins,” says Debicella. “The turnout was above 20 percent in towns like New Canaan, Darien, and Shelton.”
As for Democratic strongholds — in particular, Bridgeport — turnout appears to be lower. “The turnout in Democratic heavy areas does not appear to be as intense as in Republican heavy areas,” says Debicella, before warning that his evidence is anecdotal.
Last-minute trends are breaking for the Republican challenger. The latest public polls showed him leading the Democratic incumbent by two to four points — margins that were consistent with those of his internal polls.
Still, the key to Debicella’s victory remains turnout. One road to victory is for Debicella to win 16 of the 17 towns in the fourth congressional district — that is, every town but Bridgeport — by 15,000 to 20,000 votes. If Debicella loses Bridgeport by under 15,000 votes, he wins. If he loses it by over 20,000, he loses. And if loses it by a margin in between 15,000 and 20,000, he’s got close race on his hands.
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