In 2000 George W. Bush got 49.97% of the votes cast in Ohio to Gore's 46.46% (Nader got 2.50%, Buchanan got 0.57%, and Harry Browne had 0.29%). Nader is not on the ballot and Buchanan has endorsed Bush. It is close in Ohio, no doubt about it. Is it likely that Kerry can cut back on the number of Ohioans who voted for Bush in 2000? I think it unlikely, but the Ohio Poll (University of Cincinnati), out today, shows Kerry ahead 48-46% among likely voters, with about 6% either voting for someone else or undecided. On the other hand, a few days ago Rasmussen had it Bush 49-47%.
