I wish I could believe the Zogby polls showing Bush ahead in Florida, New Mexico, Ohio and Wisconsin. In 2002 one pollster got more state races wrong than any other pollster. His name was Zogby. To see this, look at the results for Colorado. He has Kerry up by four; no other poll in the last month has shown Bush with a lead of less than five. And then look at the Senate race, where he has Salazar up by 9! Everything else done in the last two weeks shows the race nip-and-tuck. If you need further proof, also look how far Zogby is out on Maine. No one expects Bush to win Maine, but Kerry by 11? Gore only won it by about 5 points.
