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PENNSYLVANIA: THE AMISH [David Hogberg 10/29 06:47 PM]
Well, after a bunch of emails yesterday trying to answer my questions about the Amish, I can happily say that it is inconclusive. A few did suggest that the Amish vote might not be showing up in the polls since they don’t have phones. Others suggested that the Amish don’t vote and there isn’t a lot of evidence suggesting it will change this year. Others say that there are not enough Amish to make a huge difference.
Still others say that they aren’t Amish, but Mennonites who do vote and do have access to phones. There were a lot of Mennonites in Iowa, and I often saw them at the Wal-Mart while I lived in the Ethanol state. (Having been in D.C. for about three months now, I can safely say, I MISS MY WAL-MART!)
So, if I had to make a wild guess (based on emails), the Amish might make a difference of ½ to 1% in the polls. Not much, unless the race is very close.
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