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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.


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Lou Barletta, Holding a Slim 19-Point Lead in PA-11

As usual, feel free to adjust your sodium intake when evaluating a poll released by a campaign, but I find this pretty plausible:

A poll commissioned by his campaign shows Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) leading 13-term Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D) 56 percent to 37 percent. The Tarrance Group surveyed 400 likely voters on July 12 and 13. Its poll has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.

At the link, the Kanjorski folks note that other polls showed Barletta leading in 2008. Yes, but he never led by a margin like this.

Why do I find this result plausible? Barletta is a good, charismatic candidate who gave a good push in 2008 while Obama was carrying the state, and Kanjorski seems particularly weak for a Democratic incumbent, winning only 49 percent in his own party’s primary.

Barletta’s putting up his first general-election campaign ad:

Tags: Lou Barletta, Paul Kanjorski

New on The Campaign Spot. . .


COMMENTS   1

EXPAND  

   07/15/10 12:13

And guess what Barletta was out front of illegal immigration as mayor Hazelton, PA. Want to know how about the problem is? Look at where Hazelton is! Basically the middle of nowhere: equidistant between Pottsville (Yuengling Beer), Scranton (The Office) and Allentown (Billy Joel).

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