A few readers disagree with my glum assessment of Sharron Angle’s circumstances, but fewer than I expected. As I noted, Harry Reid still has lousy job-approval numbers. Pretty terrible ones, in fact, and it appears Obama is going to be an albatross in this state. And sure, Reid is spending a ton on negative ads — except he spent a ton in preceding months with no effect on the polls whatsoever.
Three thoughts on what Angle ought to do . . .
Appeal to Independents: Angle is one of the most conservative lawmakers in the state, and while Nevada is souring on Obama and has plenty of Tea Party activity, it is not a classic red state. It’s a more purple one, and so Angle needs to offer something to the voters who are sour on both Reid and traditional Republicans.
One of the issues I thought might give her trouble was her past enthusiasm for that drug-treatment program with ties to Scientology. But most people don’t give a moment’s thought to how authorities can help imprisoned criminals overcome their additions. You don’t seek out effective prison drug-treatment programs unless you have a deep vein of compassion for the condemned and a desire to help those who have fallen about as far down as they can get. Angle could/should “play against type” and talk, in depth, about what drove her to want to help those whom society has dismissed as hopeless, and provide a serious second chance for those who have made bad decisions with terrible consequences for their lives and loved ones.
I’m picking this as an example. Angle would do well to demonstrate some area where her past stands and votes contradict the right-wing caricature of her that Reid is trying to paint.
Jobs, Jobs, Jobs: This anecdote made me just lay my head on the desk for a while:
A local actress named Dee Drenta asked Angle what she would do to help people find work. But instead of seizing what seemed like an easy chance to explain her jobs plan, the candidate revealed that she didn’t have one.
“It really comes from the statehouse to incentivize that kind of stuff in our state,” Angle said. “Truly, the lieutenant governor, Brian Krolicki, you should have this conversation with him. That’s his job, to make sure that we get business into this state. My job is to create the climate so that everybody wants to come.”
The woman gave her a puzzled look. “I’m sure you’re probably planning on working with these people to do these things,” Drenta said, hopefully. “Because it’s the end result that matters, whether it’s specifically in the job description or not.”
Unemployment in Nevada is 14.2 percent. Angle is going to get variations of this question over and over again between now and November, so she had better have a kick-butt answer to that question. I don’t care if she prefers a payroll-tax suspension, deferring or eliminating capital-gains taxes on new start-ups, domestic oil and natural-gas drilling, or getting some of these stalled trade deals passed, but she must have something to tout as a jobs-creating idea.
Jujitsu: One problem with Angle is that, according to Rasmussen, Nevadans think she’s extreme. What’s the opposite of extreme? Mush, evasiveness, slipperiness, opacity. One big reason Reid is in trouble is that the agenda he’s working to enact in Washington is the opposite of what Nevadans want. I suspect Nevadans don’t think Angle will ever lie to them, nor will they ever doubt where she stands on anything. She may have some opportunity for a variation of the Kerry vs. Bush dynamic, contrasting a flip-flopper or lawmaker who misleads his constituents on his true views and agenda with a lawmaker who is always clear and never equivocates, and whose values are indisputable.
"A few readers disagree with my glum assessment of Sharron Angle’s circumstances, but fewer than I expected."
Er, OK. 90% of the comments on your previous Sharron Angle post disagreed with you. So you expected 100% to disagree with you? Keeping your own expectations a bit low, don't you think?
Of course, when Angle is concerned, you think being tied with the sitting Majority Leader is "absolutely abysmal". Wish you would apply the same expectations to her as you do yourself.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWhat's really extreme is the left-wing agenda that Harry Reid has been forcing through the U.S. Senate for the past two years. Ms. Angle needs to keep the focus on Obamacare, stimulus, TARP, Reid's continued support for cap & tax, etc.
And the next time someone asks her about jobs, she should explain that the federal government is terrible at creating jobs, but under Harry Reid has been very effective at destroying them. She'll work to get the feds out of the way and let private enterprise do its thing.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIt sounds like she might be reacting to Reid more than hammering away at him. Maybe this is what is meant by "message control?" Republicans don't seem to get the concept that you go after your opponents; they just seem to wait around for their opponents to go after them. So maybe if, like Eric Bohnet said, she keeps the focus on Reid and Obama, 58% of the voters will start thinking Reid is the extreme one.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseJoeofPA, in that same poll, 50% of Nevadans already think Reid's views are "extreme." I agree, she should not be reactive or defensive, and also agree - as I think Geraghty does above - that she needs to keep Reid tied closely to the Obama-Pelosi agenda that he has been instrumental in enacting in DC.
Reid isn't really a Nevadan "purple" Democrat any more. He's a Washington liberal extremist. If the votes on healthcare taught us anything at all, it's that there really isn't any other kind of Democrat.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI don't get the animosity towards Jim on this or the other Angle post. I disagree with his pessimism on Angle, but come on, his analysis is more deserving of serious thought than that from any of us yahoos replying to his posts. And I suspect when he mentions readers, he is referring to emails, not comments. Just a guess.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseJim, I wouldn't exactly say Reid "spent a ton in preceding months with no effect on the polls whatsoever."
In April, Lowden led Reid by 10 points in a hypothetical match-up, while at least one poll showed her trailing him by 5 a month later.
What's been largely unaffected by Reid's advertising, both before and after the primary, is Reid's own approval ratings. As i think we've all been saying here, this race needs to be about Reid. If Angle can drop in the polls, she can also rise (again.) Reid is stuck, and stuck in a bad spot.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseCan the voters of NV really send the author of the "Cornhusker Kickback" back to the senate for another six years? Ben Nelson earned all the calumny that came his way for selling out, but it was Harry Reid that did the buying. Nevadans don't care that Harry was willing to sell them out to get Obamacare passed?
Using reconciliation to force "health care reform" down the throats of the American public isn't extreme enough for them?
Pushing a massive energy tax when unemployment in your state is above 14% isn't extreme?
This race shouldn't even be close. Harry Reid should be looking at the same poll numbers as fellow "moderate democrat" Blanche Lincoln. I hope Angle pulls this out, but it doesn't look good.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseBeware of the Pauline Kael effect. Just because everyone you know and read thinks Angle is doing just fine, does not make it so. Reid knows he cannot win on his record. He has to make the alternative to him seem much worse. So far, he has done a good job and Angle has helped him at every turn.
The good news here is she is still in the hunt. She just has to show she is not a nut. If she is not a nut, this should be an easy thing to accomplish as the voters really want an alternative to Reid. They are willing to listen.
As bad as Reid is for AZ, the voter there will not throw in with someone they think is a goofball.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf the momentum continues as it has and today's Arizona ruling will only help, I believe we could be looking at a wave type election which will pull the "close" races over the top.
I would add that if we truly want change then we had better be prepared for more "citizen" candidates. The day of the polished politician is going to quickly fade away and the sooner the political pundits come to see the coming revolution, the better their analysis will be. America is fed up with Madison Avenue politicians and for awhile will begin to back the "Mr. Smiths" and even the Sharon Angles. Best get used to it, the template is about to be flushed down the toilet.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseShe needs better ads. Her recent ads come off way too preachy. Americans tend to not like their politician preaching to them
She needs to get some humor in the ads. i.e. "If you been listening to all ads from Harry Reid you might think I am a witch. Well I am not ( cut to a photo of her as a kid dresses as a with for humor) and then cut too...Nevadans are facing some scary times..... ( go into issue)
Get some ads with her family, a family dog, some constiuient praising what she did for them in state legislature.
Voters hate Reid so her job is to make herself likable. Humor, dogs, family that her ticket
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