The Arkansas delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives could shift from 3 Democrats and 1 Republican to 3 Republicans and 1 Democrat, according to the internal polls cited by Jason Tolbert.

Republican Tim Griffin’s lead over Democrat Joyce Elliott is more or less expected; a lead for the GOP’s Steve Womack in John Boozman’s old district is also expected. Republican Rick Crawford leading Chad Causey by 6 in Marion Berry’s old district is a good sign for the GOP. But Beth Ann Rankin still has a steep uphill climb against one of the House’s most prominent Blue Dogs, Mike Ross, trailing by 21.