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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Blunt Leads in Missouri, 51-40



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Yesterday, a fan of Roy Blunt called my attention to this report from a Missouri blog . . .

A FEW KANSAS CITY POLITICAL INSIDERS WERE KIND ENOUGH TO OFFER REASONS FOR CARHAHAN’S UPCOMING DEFEAT THAT MOSTLY REVOLVE AROUND MONEY AND PROBLEMS WITH DEMOCRATS RELATING TO MINORITIES!!!

Reason #1: DEMOCRATS ON THE NATIONAL LEVEL WILL BAIL OUT AND MOVE THEIR MONEY TO MORE PRODUCTIVE VENUES WHEN THEY DISCOVER CARNAHAN CAN’T WIN!!!

Already, Carnahan’s Kansas City Obama fundraiser was disappointing and given that Kansas City is usually the place where people get left behind . . . I don’t doubt the validity of this theory.

Reason #2A GREAT MANY DEMOCRATS ALREADY PULLED THEIR MONEY OUT OF THE CARNAHAN RACE!!! 

Basically the same point, only more so . . . Already, one of the most well-connected local Democrats in Kansas City told TKC that the donkey’s already pulled A HALF-A-MILLION BUCKS (!!!) out of the Missouri Senate Race in order to use it more productively in Nevada . . . And not even at the Blackjack Tables but in order to help Harry Reid in a contest that’s getting closer.

Reason #3 KANSAS CITY DEMOCRATS HAVE BETRAYED THE BLACK VOTE THAT WILL NOT TURN OUT FOR CARNAHAN!!! 

. . . and I found it plausible, but wondered how much was garden-variety grousing among voters and interest groups who will “come home” before November. When you trail consistently, people start talking about everything you’re doing wrong, and why everyone is going to give up on you soon. When you surge, people usually forget about those complaints.

Well, Rasmussen just gave the Carnahan folks a panic-button moment:

Republican Congressman Roy Blunt for the first time holds a double-digit lead over Democrat Robin Carnahan in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Missouri Voters shows Blunt earning 51 percent of the vote. Carnahan, Missouri’s secretary of state, picks up 40 percent support, her poorest showing to date. Five percent (5%) like some other candidate in the race, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Maybe this comes as a relief to the DSCC; like the report indicated, this seat may not even be worth worrying about anymore.


Tags: Robin Carnahan , Roy Blunt


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