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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.


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TOOMSDAY!

A margin of nine percentage points is a “slight lead”? Come on, AP. Live a little!

A new poll shows Republican Pat Toomey slightly ahead of Democrat Joe Sestak in their U.S. Senate race.

The Franklin & Marshall College poll shows Toomey with the support of 40 percent of likely voters to Sestak’s 31 percent. About a quarter remain undecided with about 9 weeks left until the November 2 general election.

Thursday’s poll also shows Republican gubernatorial candidate Tom Corbett leading his Democratic counterpart. The state attorney general has an 11-point lead over Allegheny County executive Dan Onorato with 31 percent of likely voters undecided.

The poll of 577 Pennsylvanians was conducted the week ending Monday. The sampling error margin is plus or minus 5.4 percentage points.

This is why November 2 is . . . TOOMSDAY!

Oh, I’m sure you’re tired of the Toomey/Toom/Doom puns, but right now that’s about all that’s left that’s not predictable about this race. This is the third straight poll putting Toomey up by 8 or more. Sestak’s giving off a Creigh Deeds-y vibe. This race is a few more lopsided polls from turning into Arkansas.

Speaking of Arkansas, yesterday the NRSC distributed a release slamming Blanche Lincoln on taxes, and I thought, “Isn’t there some Little League mercy rule she can invoke?” She’s an incumbent who’s on pace to lose by about 30. Come on, guys, leave her with a little dignity.

UPDATE: I think that this may very well be the coolest t-shirt in the history of political campaigns:

 November 2, 2010.'

Tags: Blanche Lincoln, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

New on The Campaign Spot. . .


COMMENTS   3

EXPAND  

   08/26/10 10:58

If the Toominator is 8-9 points ahead, why does Cooks Political still show PA as a toss-up state?

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   08/26/10 11:13

The good news is the AP told NY Rep Jerry Nadler that he's only slightly overweight. So he has nothing to worry about, no concern of diabetes, heart disease, stroke, nothing. Lance Armstrong is in just slightly better health.

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   08/26/10 11:20

Charlie cook was a long time Dem staffer and he is always very late to moving the status. I've always thought Stu Rothenberg is a much better analyst and without the bias that Cook often has.

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