Insert your preferred exclamation here. “Leapin’ Lizards!” perhaps.
Wow. “Republicans lead by 51% to 41% among registered voters in Gallup weekly tracking of 2010 congressional voting preferences. The 10-percentage-point lead is the GOP’s largest so far this year and is its largest in Gallup’s history of tracking the midterm generic ballot for Congress.”
Inevitably, someone will argue (correctly) that there is no such thing as a generic candidate. But put another way, the GOP is running 10 points ahead of where they were in the final poll before Election Day 1994.
There’s still a bit more than two months before November 2, and if you’re a Republican, you’ve probably seen your party snatch defeat from the jaws of victory plenty of times before. I’m sure we’ll see October surprises. Someone will probably have a defining gaffe between now and then.
But indicators like this suggest we may be heading for a GOP landslide beyond the capacity of the Beltway media to imagine.
And one thing to always consider - baked into this particular cake are the cities. With the urban districts so Overwhelmingly Democratic (while being very undemocratic at the same time), if the GOP were running about two or three points ahead they are doing VERY well. There are very few districts where the GOP has the sort of overwhelming, why-even-bother leads as in the Bronx, south-side Chicago, downtown Philly, LA, etc. These districts skew the numbers.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAs LC said, the swing districts are going to be worse. Click on the link. This isn't an outlier, its a continuation of a trend. The biggest leads the R's have ever had via gallup midterms are all 2010 and 1994.
Also, Gallup surveys Registered voters, so you would expect the Likely voter polls to be even worse.
I'd love to be a fly on the wall at the WH or congress. Those D's who went against their constituents consistently to toe the Pelosi/obama line, Dahlkamper, Donnolly, Perrillo, Nye, all those in IN, OH, NC, FL, etc.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf there is an "October Surprise" of significance, it will have to be a national event -- something that changes the subject and affects all candidates. Something like a new war. Can you say "Wag The Dog"?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseWhat happened in mid July that gave the dems a six point advantage?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseAnd is it the mosque issue which is bringing so many more to our side now?
"Insert your preferred exclamation here."
Unexpectedly.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseNew branding suggestion for the Dems: "We don't have a single, solitary, new idea either. Not one! We're fresh out."
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