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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.


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Are They Still Swing States When They’re Not Competitive?

BOOM:

Republican Marco Rubio continues to hold a double-digit lead over independent candidate Charlie Crist in Florida’s contentious race for the U.S. Senate. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida finds Rubio with 41% support. Crist, the state’s current governor, earns 30% of the vote, with Democrat Kendrick Meek still running third with 23%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

BOOM:

Republican Rob Portman now earns his highest level of support to date against Democrat Lee Fisher in the U.S. Senate race in Ohio. The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters, including leaners, finds Portman picking up 49% of the vote, while Fisher gets 41% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

POW:

GOP hopeful Pat Toomey holds an 8-point lead over Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak in the battle for Pennsylvania’s open Senate seat, according to polling released Wednesday morning by Rasmussen Reports. Toomey, a Republican activist and former congressman, leads 49 percent to Sestak’s 41 percent among 500 likely voters questioned Sept. 13; the margin of error was 4 points.

Hey, it’s not like a national party has to be competitive in Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania.

Tags: Marco Rubio, Pat Toomey, Rob Portman

New on The Campaign Spot. . .


COMMENTS   2

EXPAND  

   09/15/10 15:37

A lot of former rust belt cities in OH and PA still have heavy union influence, but it's on the decline. Meanwhile, these cities are rebuilding a more robust, diverse economy (Pittsburgh being a great example) and will be increasingly favorable to the GOP.

Instead of being a stronghold of blue collar Democrats, I expect former rust-belt cities like Pittsburgh to increasingly favor the GOP(much like Cincinnati, the rest of Appalachia, etc)

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   09/15/10 23:08

Does this mean I have to move out of Ohio? I mean, if it's not competitive...

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