The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Senator Kirsten Gillibrand of New York . . . Leading by Only One Point?


Ladies and gentlemen, unless SurveyUSA had a wildly off-kilter sample . . . New York now has two competitive statewide races.

Republican candidate for Governor, Carl Paladino is nine percentage points behind Democrat Andrew Cuomo, according a new scientific poll commissioned by Two On Your Side, the Rochester Democrat and Chronicle and the White Plains Journal News.

The poll shows Cuomo with 49% of the vote. Paladino has 40%. Eight percent said they would vote for another candidate and three percent were still undecided.

There is a 4.2% margin of error.

Survey USA interviewed 1,000 adults in New York State on September 20th and 21st.

Of them, 867 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 572 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election.

In the Special Election to fill the final 2 years of Hillary Rodham Clinton’s term, incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand and former Congressman Republican Joe DioGuardi today finish effectively even, with Gillibrand’s nominal 1-point lead being within the survey’s theoretical margin of sampling error.

Gillibrand leads in the 5 boroughs of NYC but trails elsewhere.

SurveyUSA also finds that in New York’s general election for U.S. Senate, incumbent Democrat Chuck Schumer leads Republican Jay Townsend 54 percent to 33 percent.

Tags: Andrew Cuomo , Carl Paladino , Joe DioGuardi , Kirsten Gillebrand


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