The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

The Latest Bunch of Polls You Almost Won’t Believe


The hits just keep on coming . . .

In Wisconsin:

Republican challenger Ron Johnson continues to earn more than 50% of the vote in his U.S. Senate bid against incumbent Democrat Russ Feingold in Wisconsin. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Wisconsin finds Johnson with 52% support. Feingold, who has represented the state in the Senate since 1993, earns 45% of the vote.

In New Mexico:

Republican Susana Martinez now leads Democratic Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish by nine points in New Mexico’s gubernatorial election. The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Martinez, a county prosecutor, picking up 52% of the vote, her best showing in the contest to date. Denish draws support from 43%.

In Tennessee:

[Republican] Knoxville Mayor Bill Haslam now holds a near two-to-one lead over businessman Mike McWherter in Tennessee’s gubernatorial election. The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters shows Haslam picking up 59% support, while McWherter, the son of a former governor, picks up 31%.


Nearly half the people who once considered themselves supporters of President Barack Obama don’t anymore. Other than that, his virtually nonstop cross-country campaigning for embattled Democrats in the Nov. 2 election is working perfectly. Monday night, he spoke to two party fundraisers of ordinary American millionaires in Miami, as The Ticket reported here. A new poll released today by Bloomberg News finds all that hopey-changey stuff is rapidly turning to disappointment and disenchantment. While 47% of all voters approve of Obama’s job now, ominously for 2012 only 36% of onetime Obama supporters now approve.

Finally, from a reader in Maryland, a strange indicator: “Holy smokes — I just heard a Steny Hoyer campaign ad on WTOP.  Probably a good sign.”

Now that Bobby Schilling is a mainstream upset pick, I’ll make Charles Lollar my new insane upset special pick.

Tags: Barack Obama , Bill Haslam , Ron Johnson , Susana Martinez


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