The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

The First 47 Years Were a Warm-Up, Apparently


What kind of a year is it? The kind of year where eight-term Daniel Inouye, incumbent senator of Hawaii, is up 13.

Democrat Daniel Inouye has represented Hawaii in the U.S. Senate for 47 years, and he now holds a 13-point lead over Republican challenger Cam Cavasso in his bid for another six-year term.

The latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters in the state shows Inouye picking up 53 percent of the vote, while Cavasso, a former member of the state’s House of Representatives captures 40 percent.

That may not sound like much, but take a look at Inouye’s usual margins and percentages: 75.4 percent (2004), 76.4 percent (1998), 57.2 percent (1992), 73.5 percent (1986), 77.9 percent (1980), 82.8 percent (1974), 83.4 percent (1968), 69.4 percent (1962).

Throw in Duke Aiona in a competitive governor’s race and Charles Djou having a solid shot for reelection to Congress, and this could be an amazing year for Hawaii Republicans.

Tags: Cam Cavasso , Daniel Inouye


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