Ba-boom!
Summarizing the big poll dump the NRCC just provided the Washington Post:
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FL-8: Daniel Webster (R) 46, Alan Grayson* (D) 30
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PA 3: Mike Kelly (R) 56, Kathy Dahlkemper* (D) 39
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OH-15: Steve Stivers (R) 51, Mary Jo Kilroy* (D) 39
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WA-3: Jaime Herrera (R) 51, Denny Heck (D) 38
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NY-20: Chris Gibson (R) 48, Scott Murphy* (D) 45
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MA-10: Jeff Perry (R) 44, Bill Keating (D) 42
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IL-17: Bobby Schilling (R) 44, Phil Hare* (D) 41
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PA-10: Tom Marino (R) 44, Chris Carney* (D) 37
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VA-9: Morgan Griffith (R) 44, Rick Boucher* (D) 44
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OR-5: Scott Bruun (R) 44, Kurt Schrader (D) 42
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OH-6: Bill Johnson (R) 40, Charlie Wilson* (D) 40
(* = denotes incumbent)
All of these results sound pretty plausible, but if you want to take some salt with an NRCC-commissioned poll, that’s fine. I would note that any Democratic incumbent who’s polling in the high 30s or low 40s in a cycle like this is probably doomed or close to doomed.
Alan Grayson is dying quickly. Man that was too easy...
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseJim,
in a normal year polling below 45% is the death knell if you are behind. Not sure why people keep raising the bar - unless they just can't process what the data is clearly showing!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI think Dahlkemper's been a dead congresswoman walking ever since she flipped for ObamaCare:
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After that, none of her non-liberal constituents were ever going to trust her again. The national Democrats pulling the plug on her TV campaign was just the coup de grace:
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Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIn addition to Alan Grayson, is there a list of Democrats you would most like to see defeated?
I mean, I know we'd all love to see Pelosi, Frank, Stark, et al., get defeated, but is there a "Top Ten" list that you 1. would most like to see defeated, and 2. actually have a chance of losing?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseIf we discount silly Democratic polls, we have to take ours with a grain of salt too. Still, these polls say at least that all these polls are within striking distance.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseTop 10 list (realistic list because we'd all love to see pelosi, clyburn, rangel, woolsey, waxman, etc. go down hard)
top 16,
grayson, frank, byron hill, loretta sanchez, Spratt, Ike skelton, shea porter (one of the biggest lib's that no one knows, made her bones as a bush hater and anti war protester), tim walz, dingell, melissa bean, phil hare, halvorson, Betsy markey, Herseth Sandler, Pomeroy, Allan Boyd.
There are MANY MANY more but those are some of the tops I want taken down. Really I loath the hypocrites who campaign as moderates and vote as SF liberals. There are plenty of them in Dalkamper, etc.
On the senate side all of them, especially stupak dozen brad ellsworth. But really so many of the d's in the senate are loathsome people, Reid, Murray, Boxer, Crist, Feingold, etc. In '12 I will really enjoy seeing Claire McCaskill go down.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseI will really enjoy seeing Grayson go down (and I'm sure that he will), but #1 on my hit list is HARRY REID! The idea of scalping both Reid & Pelosi in the same election is just too sweet.
Also want to see Feingold lose and slimey RINO Kirk to beat the even slimier Dem whose name I can't spell in Illinois (Obama's seat.)
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