The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

One More Vulnerable House Democrat in the West...


Here’s a race I thought had slipped through the GOP’s fingers. In this environment, no Democrat in a red district is safe.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Walt Minnick’s lead over Republican Raul Labrador fell from 10 percentage points in mid-September to 3 percentage points late last week, says a poll commissioned by The Spokesman-Review and six other newspapers.

The freshman Democrat’s lead is so narrow that it may not exist at all because it falls within the poll’s 5-point margin of error . . .

Idaho Republicans have huge leads in two races, with Sen. Mike Crapo up 44 percentage points on Democrat Tom Sullivan and 2nd District Rep. Mike Simpson leading Democrat Mike Crawford by 45 percentage points. In two top statewide races, Republicans have double-digit leads: Gov. Butch Otter by 22 percentage points over Democrat Keith Allred and Superintendent of Public Instruction Tom Luna over Democrat Stan Olson by 16 percentage points.

Tags: Raul Labrador , Walt Minnick


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