In yesterday’s Jolt, I told folks not to let their blood pressure rise as they watch tracking polls like the Morning Call’s ones in Pennsylvania. As Obi-Wan notes, in the short term, polls go up a bit, they go down a bit, like the stock-market averages. The gradual trend is more important than each day’s shift of a few percentage points back and forth.
Well, the tracking poll does seem to be showing a trend:
|
|
10/20 |
10/21 |
10/22 |
10/24 |
10/25 |
10/26 |
10/27 |
|
Toomey |
41% |
43% |
43% |
45% |
46% |
47% |
48% |
|
Sestak |
44% |
43% |
43% |
42% |
42% |
42% |
40%
|
Of course, tomorrow we could see Toomey lose some ground. But the overall movement in the race seems to be in his favor.
Toomey will win. COUNT ON IT. I have no doubt.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abusefeel free to use this graph if you like.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseBob Shrum was just on Fox News saying the D's are ok and of course claiming Al Gore really really won FL in 2000 and should have been President (oy!). But if Shrum is saying something, you know for certain the opposite is going to happen. No one in politics has been more wrong more often.
Toomsday!!!!!!!!!!!!
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseToomey will win, assuming an even moderately-honest vote count.
However, in Philadelphia, that is a hugely optimistic assumption, so those coal miners (and others) in western Pennsylvania had better go vote straight GOP this year. I know it's hard guys, 'cause you're all union men, but you can do it.
Reply to this commentLinkReport Abuse