The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Reason for Cautious Optimism in Pennsylvania


In yesterday’s Jolt, I told folks not to let their blood pressure rise as they watch tracking polls like the Morning Call’s ones in Pennsylvania. As Obi-Wan notes, in the short term, polls go up a bit, they go down a bit, like the stock-market averages. The gradual trend is more important than each day’s shift of a few percentage points back and forth.

Well, the tracking poll does seem to be showing a trend:

  10/20 10/21 10/22 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/27
Toomey 41% 43% 43% 45% 46% 47% 48%
Sestak 44% 43% 43% 42% 42% 42%


Of course, tomorrow we could see Toomey lose some ground. But the overall movement in the race seems to be in his favor.

Tags: Joe Sestak , Pat Toomey


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