The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Gibson Suddenly Leads in NY-20 by the Mad Max


In New York’s 20th congressional district, Siena finds a huge late surge for one of the candidates we’ve urged you to help:

Entering the final week of the campaign, Republican Chris Gibson has reversed an early campaign deficit and turned it into a 51-42 percent lead over Democratic Representative Scott Murphy, who is seeking his first re-election, according to a Siena (College) Research Institute poll of likely voters released today. Gibson has become much more known to voters over the last six weeks, with a positive three-to-two favorability rating. Murphy remains known to more voters, however, they are evenly divided between those who view him favorably and those who view him unfavorably.

“Chris Gibson has completely erased a 17-point deficit and now takes a strong nine-point lead into the final week of the campaign against incumbent Scott Murphy,” said Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg. “Republican voters have come home to Gibson. He had led by only 27 points and now leads by nearly 60 points among Republicans. He has also won over independents, who had previously sided with Murphy by a nearly two-to-one margin, and now give Gibson a seven-point lead.

In other House polls today, Kristi Noem is up by 2 over Stephanie Herseth Sandlin in South Dakota, Daniel Webster is up by 7 over Alan Grayson in Florida, Andy Vidak is up 10 on Jim Costa in California, and Republican Raul Labrador is within 3 of incumbent Democrat Walt Minnick in a heavily Republican district in Idaho.

You know what this means, right? It means Jay Cost is being bombarded with gamma rays. JAY COST ANGRY! JAY COST SMASH!

Tags: Chris Gibson


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