The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Quinnipiac’s Last Poll in Florida Seems . . . Just Plain Weird.


We will know whether this poll is on the mark in a matter of days, but Quinnipiac’s latest results in Florida seem a little odd to me:

In the Florida U.S. Senate race, Republican Marco Rubio leads Gov. Charlie Crist, who is running as an independent, 42 – 35 percent among likely voters, while Democratic U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek gets 15 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

In the hotly-contested governor’s race, State Chief Financial Officer Alex Sink, the Democrat, has 45 percent to 41 percent for Republican Rick Scott, the independent Quinnipiac University survey, conducted by live interviewers, finds.  Another 11 percent are undecided and 9 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind in this final week before Election Day. 

Today’s results compare with Quinnipiac University’s October 13 survey showing Rubio with 44 percent, followed by Crist with 30 percent and Meek with 22 percent. 

An October 12 poll of the governor’s race showed Scott with 45 percent and Sink with 44 percent.

I suppose that in the Senate race, this could be the traditional late coalescing of support around the top two candidates in a three-way race. But is the Democratic nominee in a hard-fought Senate race really going to be held to 15 percent? Are we to believe that Kendrick Meek will finish with a lower share of the vote than Alvin Greene (usually around 20 percent)?

As for the governor’s race . . . perhaps Floridians are confident that Alex Sink can handle the tough questions, as long as her makeup woman is never far away.

Tags: Alex Sink , Charlie Crist , Kendrick Meek , Marco Rubio , Rick Scott


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