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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

A Christmas Present to the GOP: Tuesday’s Census Report



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This is the most campaign and election-related item in today’s Morning Jolt, the first of Christmas week…

Demography Is Destiny, Which Can Be a Pain for a Democrat

The AP notices something we had mentioned a while ago, and that most political junkies had been buzzing about: “The 2010 census report coming out Tuesday will include a boatload of good political news for Republicans and grim data for Democrats hoping to re-elect President Barack Obama and rebound from last month’s devastating elections. The population continues to shift from Democratic-leaning Rust Belt states to Republican-leaning Sun Belt states, a trend the Census Bureau will detail in its once-a-decade report to the president. Political clout shifts, too, because the nation must reapportion the 435 House districts to make them roughly equal in population, based on the latest census figures. The biggest gainer will be Texas, a GOP-dominated state expected to gain up to four new House seats, for a total of 36. The chief losers — New York and Ohio, each projected by nongovernment analysts to lose two seats — were carried by Obama in 2008 and are typical of states in the Northeast and Midwest that are declining in political influence. Democrats’ problems don’t end there. November’s elections put Republicans in control of dozens of state legislatures and governorships, just as states prepare to redraw their congressional and legislative district maps. It’s often a brutally partisan process, and Republicans’ control in those states will enable them to create new districts to their liking.”

Writing at Michelle Malkin’s site, Doug Powers responds, “In the big picture, there are two ways Democrats can deal with this: Admit that their tax-happy, regulation-loving, fiscally incompetent, union favoring, public sector nurturing, debt ridden, sharp edges rounded off, politically correct, smoke free, salt free, fat free, common sense-free social and economic experiments have been colossal disasters — or they can continue to try to nationalize every aspect of America and pursue the extinction of greener pastures as fast as possible so people have nowhere which to escape. Which will it be?** **The Rhetorical Question of the Day was brought to you by 3M Disposable Ear Plugs — when you don’t want to hear the question, let alone the answer, make it 3M Disposable Ear Plugs!”

Ed Driscoll looks at the phenomenon on a more local level, and observes that Seattle and San Francisco have low numbers of children per capita. “And it seems rather difficult to build an emerging Democratic majority when two of the most prominent “liberal” cities in America (very much in name only, given the mammoth regulatory mazes and bureaucratic armies these cities come equipped with) have such poor future demographics. Or as Mark Steyn, who inspired our headline above with this classic 2006 article, wrote about Europe’s similar (and not at all coincidental) demographic woes, ‘what’s the point of creating a secular utopia if it’s only for one generation?’

I close the Jolt by observing, “Apparently Hyundai is trying a new strategy of browbeating potential car buyers into submission with one of the most relentless and ubiquitous advertising campaigns of the season.  If I see that aren’t-we-cool duo singing Christmas songs on those Hyundai commercials – apparently named Pomplamoose  – I’m going to end up setting places for them for Christmas dinner. ‘What? Cutesy Girl and Way Too Excited Guy aren’t part of the family? Then why am I seeing them every day?’”


Tags: Redistricting


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