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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

A Drug-Testing Program for the ‘Conventional Wisdom’ Is Long Overdue



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In Mike Allen’s morning newsletter:

THE CONVENTIONAL WISDOM

–PRESIDENT OBAMA’s chance of being reelected: 75% 

–MITT ROMNEY’s chance of being the GOP nominee: 20% 

–JON HUNTSMAN’s chance of being the GOP nominee: 15% -

-SARAH PALIN’s chance of being the GOP nominee: 10%

Apparently the Conventional Wisdom has been drinking heavily. While Obama still has a healthy chance of being reelected, unless unemployment is closer to the 5-6-7 percent range, he’s nowhere near that high and much closer to 50-50.

And Jon Huntsman has a better chance of being the GOP nominee than Sarah Palin? What, he’s going to run his campaign from Beijing?


Tags: Barack Obama , Jon Huntsman , Sarah Palin


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