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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

National Journal: Only 40% Would Definitely/Probably Reelect Obama



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I think what’s most surprising about these numbers is that they’re from a sample of “registered voters,” not “likely voters”:

Fully half of registered voters say they would definitely or probably vote for a candidate other than President Obama if the presidential election were held today, according to a new Allstate/National Journal Heartland Monitor poll.

50 percent of registered voters surveyed said they would definitely or probably vote for someone else, while just 40 percent said they would definitely or probably vote for the president.

Just 22 percent of registered voters said they would definitely vote for Obama, while 18 percent said they would probably vote for him. 35 percent would definitely vote for someone else while another 16 percent would probably vote for someone else.


Tags: 2012. Polling , Barack Obama


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