The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Obama Could Lose in 2012 Because of... Er, That? Really?


Mark Penn, chief adviser to Bill and Hillary Clinton, tells GQ five ways Barack Obama could lose in 2012

Bafflingly, his number one is a raid on Mullah Omar going wrong and number two is too much chest-thumping about killing Osama bin Laden. Three and four are the ones that I bet came quickest to readers’ minds, an economy that continues to sputter between now and Election Day 2012, making Obama’s presidency feel like one long four-year recession.

Number five is a sex scandal; if I were GQ I would be wondering how seriously Penn took these questions.

On Hillary’s campaign, Penn was famously unaware of which states awarded their Democrat delegates proportionally and which ones were winner-take-all, getting a great deal of blame after her campaign ended. This interview raises the question of whether his judgment has improved.

No, no, if you want to get an exponentially more likely reason than a botched raid on Omar, take a look at Gallup this morning: “Americans’ satisfaction with the way things are going in the country fell to 20% in early June from 26% at the start of May. Seventy-eight percent of Americans are now dissatisfied with the nation’s direction, according to a June 9-12 Gallup poll.”

Tags: Barack Obama , Hillary Clinton , Mark Penn


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