"Beyond Wisconsin, if we can enjoy a similar ‘loss rate’ in Republican-held districts (picking up 33 percent of them), Speaker Nancy Pelosi will have a huge majority in 2013."

As someone who hates publishing statistics because I know people read too much into them, this is cringe-worthy. Seriously, you can expect this from novices, but if you've watched the political scene for any legnth of time and make this type of leap - you're simply not that bright.

I read a funny comment elsewhere:

"The democrats will be swearing in their two new senators at the Rockford Holiday Inn."

The democrats are going to pick up 17 more seats than the GOP did in the 2012 midterms? With an incumbent president whose likely ceiling is 51% in an ideal scenario? Hysterical.

Democrats have poured everything they had into rolling back Republican gains and legislation in Wisconsin this year. First, with fugitive senators trying to block the vote; second with an all-out effort to politicize a State Supreme Court race and get a majority to overturn the law from there; and third with these recall races.

In addition, it is probably worth noting that Hopper, running in a district carried by Obama in 2008, not only lost by only a 51-49 margin (1250 votes,) he did so in the midst of a personal scandal that could easily have accounted for most, if not all, of his losing margin.

Democrats who see anything good in Wisconsin's recall results are just whistling past the (metaphorical) graveyard. Hope that imagery isn't too violent.

The Democrats cherry picked these races to find the most Democratic districts they could that were represented by Republicans. If they thought they could have won more races than these they would have tried to recall more GOP Senators. They could only find six seats they thought they had a decent shot at and they only won two of them despite overwhelming superiority in money and campaign workers (I don't say "campaign volunteers" because most of them were either paid or doing what they had to do to avoid losing their day jobs.)

I will link to this from my Old Jarhead blog. Congratulations to Wisconsin voters, who by a thin margin may have temporarily avoided joining disaster states like California and Illinois. I say “temporarily” because the union-welfare-transnational progressive-lawyer coalition is strong in Wisconsin through years of vote-buying. As things get worse, economically ignorant voters may turn to plan-free promises like “hope and change.” And if the country collapses, as I fear is increasingly likely, the disaster states and the federal government will drag even the responsible states into the abyss.

Robert A. Hall
Author: The Coming Collapse of the American Republic
(All royalties go to a charity to help wounded veterans)