The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Quinnipiac: Pennsylvanians Still Sour on Obama, But Not Warm to Romney, Perry


Quinnipiac unveils some new numbers in Pennsylvania this morning, showing good news for Gov. Tom Corbett and Sen. Pat Toomey, two Republicans:

With an 8-point jump among women voters, Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett gets a 50 – 32 percent approval rating from voters, his best score so far, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Gov. Corbett wins 72 – 15 percent approval from Republicans and 52 – 32 percent approval from independent voters, while Democrats disapprove 47 – 29 percent.

Pennsylvania voters say 62 – 30 percent that the economic benefits of drilling for natural gas in the Marcellus Shale outweigh environmental concerns. Even Democrats back drilling 50 – 41 percent.

Voters support 64 – 27 percent a new tax on gas drilling companies, with 51 – 37 percent support among Republicans.

. . . Pennsylvania voters approve 43 – 32 percent of the job U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey is doing. Approval is 61 – 16 percent among Republicans and 41 – 34 percent among independent voters, while Democrats disapprove 43 – 31 percent.

Yesterday, the pollster found that respondents oppose switching the way Pennsylvania’s electoral votes are counted (though it’s closer than you might think):

By a slight 52 – 40 percent majority, Pennsylvania voters want to continue the state’s current winner-take-all Electoral College system, rather than switch to a system where Electoral College votes are awarded based on the winner in each congressional district, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Voters say 57 – 32 percent that Republicans in the State Legislature want to switch to a district-by-district count to help Republican presidential candidates, rather than to better reflect the will of the voters, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds. And voters say 51 – 38 percent that the switch will diminish Pennsylvania’s importance as a key presidential swing state.

Finally, Pennsylvanians remain sour on Obama’s performance as president, but not yet terribly warmed up to the Republican options:

President Barack Obama gets 45 percent to 43 percent for Romney, a tie and virtually unchanged from the August 2 Quinnipiac University poll; President Obama tops Perry 46 – 40 percent, also virtually unchanged; Obama beats Santorum 45 – 42 percent, compared to 45 – 43 percent. Pennsylvania voters disapprove 54 – 43 percent of the job Obama is doing, unchanged from the results August 2. Voters say 51 – 44 percent that Obama does not deserve a second term, compared to 52 – 42 percent August 2.

Of course, if President Obama loses a state he carried by 10 points in 2008 like Pennsylvania, he’s probably losing a whole lot of closer swing states as well . . .

Tags: Barack Obama , Pennsylvania


Subscribe to National Review