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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.


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The NRSC Has a Feeling About Tim Kaine’s Feeling

Is Barack Obama a liability in Virginia, the swing state he’s traveling through today? The National Republican Senatorial Committee certainly thinks so, in this ad unveiled this morning:

Tim Kaine will have a tougher time separating himself from Obama than your average Democrat, as he was Obama’s pick to be DNC chair and served in that role during his final year as governor.

Notice this line in today’s Washington Post:

The White House had considered stops in Danville, Newport News, Charlottesville and Fredericksburg. But prominent Democrats in Virginia — where Obama’s approval rating hovers around 50 percent — encouraged the White House to alter the schedule so he would no longer visit districts where members of his party were involved in tight elections. Instead, Obama will speak at a high school in Emporia on Tuesday, and Langley Air Force Base in Hampton and a fire station in Chesterfield County outside Richmond on Wednesday. He will be joined by first lady Michelle Obama in Hampton.

Guess who isn’t appearing with Obama during this trip through the state? Tim Kaine.

So when the Post refers to “prominent Democrats in Virginia” — who else could they be talking about besides Tim Kaine?

Tags: Barack Obama, Tim Kaine

New on The Campaign Spot. . .


COMMENTS   7

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   10/18/11 10:19

I like George Allen and all, but I feel like having him as the nominee is going to make this race much closer than it really needs to be. I feel like we should easily defeat Kaine (I'm talking at least 6-7 point win) but Allen is going to let him hang around (assuming Obama's approval in the state remains generally where it is).

I hope the Gov. McDonnell has plans to make some appearances with Allen - maybe some of that near-70% approval rating can rub off.

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   10/18/11 12:33

"But prominent Democrats in Virginia — where Obama’s approval rating hovers around 50 percent"

You gotta love the Wash Post with their objective reporting. Obama is hovering around 50% approval? Where at the union halls or the suburbs of DC?

Jim posted this in Sept where Quinippiac had his disapproval/approval at 54% - 40%.

External Link 

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Mary B.
   10/18/11 15:10

I just heard George Allen speak on Saturday in Fairfax, and he seems to be at the top of his game. I think he learned a lot by his defeat, and he is not going to let it happen again! Go George!

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   10/18/11 15:21

First - not that good of an ad.

Second, if the bamster's numbers are at 50% and they don't want him in areas with tight elections it sort of says to me that his numbers are no where near 50%.

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Aarradin
   10/18/11 16:48

We have elections here in VA in about 3 weeks for State House and Senate. We're trying to flip the Senate, which is currently 22-18 in favor of the D's.

There were some tight Congressional races last year too (Connolly, D up in the Communist area around Alexandria only held on by 2%), which are likely to be tight next year as well.

Its not all about the Senate race.

It is largely about Obama though, there are very few places in the state where he's not a huge liability for his Party.

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chester arthur
   10/18/11 19:59

Between Kaine's backdoor licensing of boat operators(required safety course with a certificate that must be carried,i.e. license) and his guardasil mandate for young girls,he doesn't stand a chance once the campaign really starts.His constant attempts to raise taxes even more than Virginia's largest tax raiser in history(Mark(tax)Warner) aren't exactly a distant memory to most voters either.You might as well kiss Obama in public,little Timmy.

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Jim T
   10/19/11 08:16

Gallup's massive (a 90,000 sample size) state by state breakdown for the first half of 2011 showed Obama at 46% approval in Virginia. The country as a whole during that time-frame gave him a 47% approval.

Gallup now shows the country as a whole giving Obama a 38% approval rating. This leads me to strongly doubt Obama that is even above 40% approval in Virginia right now ... and this is with 'adults', not registered or likely voters.

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