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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.


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Controversy Punishes Cain All the Way to Frontrunner Status

Herman Cain leads nationally . . .

Former Godfather’s Pizza CEO Herman Cain leads the Republican presidential primary field with 30 percent, followed by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 23 percent, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich with 10 percent and Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 8 percent, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds. No other candidate tops 7 percent.

and in Iowa . . .

Herman Cain and Mitt Romney top The Des Moines Register’s new Iowa Poll, with the retired pizza executive edging the former Massachusetts governor 23 percent to 22 percent in the race for the Republican presidential nomination.

and in South Carolina . . .

In South Carolina, businessman Herman Cain leads the GOP field with former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney ten points behind. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is the only other candidate in double digits. The survey was conducted on Tuesday night following two days of media coverage concerning allegations of sexual harassment against Cain.

. . . and his fundraising is booming since Monday: “$400,000 in the last 24 hours.”

So far, the sexual-harassment allegation is the best thing to happen to his campaign. Perhaps we’ll see the longer-shots insisting they’ve been accused of harassment, too.

Tags: Herman Cain

New on The Campaign Spot. . .


COMMENTS   52

EXPAND  

   11/02/11 11:54

Of course people are rallying around Cain. He is our latest media martyr and no conservative wants to validate Politico's smear. Even those of us who want him out of the race don't want Politico's muckraking to drive him out. So Cain will ride high for a while longer.

When the dust clears, however, the overwhelming majority of Republican voters will noice that Cain is not a serious candidate for President. A day never goes by without some serious screw-up from him or his campaign. Today, the gaffe du jour is Cain's comment that we have to be on guard against China as it tries to develop a nuclear capacity. Tomorrow it will be something else. In the end, even the dimmest voter will get the message. Cain was fun for a while, but when the serious business of choosing a nominee begins, he's a nonstarter.

You can't predict what voters will do when they consider a question by polling them before they consider it., which is why all polling at this point is almost meaningless. When the voting gets underway it will be a whole new ball game, and Herman Cain won't be playing.

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Dai Alanye
   11/02/11 16:20

China has had nukes for some time but is far behind in delivery systems, which they are working on. Thus, China is developing nuclear capacity.

I don't know if that's what Cain intended, but it works out for him anyway.

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Demerick
   11/02/11 16:59

That is a very overly positive position to take. Mr. Cain has proudly admitted he doesn't know much about other countries like Uzbekistan.

The man clearly just doesn't know much about foreign policy, like most Americans.

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   11/02/11 18:04

Thank God he's honest and forthright about it.

He could instead rely on his teleprompter, overweening ego, and sense of superiority to fake his way through it.

That's been working out real well for our Country.

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   11/03/11 01:18

A good running mate makes foreign policy pretty much a non-issue. Imagine a Cain-Gingrich ticket, for instance. Or Cain-Petraeus.

The reality is, virtually no successful Presidential candidate ever really has foreign policy experience, because you only get that by being President, or a 4 star general, or someone who has been in DC forever. Presidents don't run as challengers. 4 star generals hardly ever run for office and usually lack anything other than foreign policy credentials. And people who have been in DC forever usually have a long history of questionable votes around their necks.

But you can always put a general or long timer on the ticket as VP and problems solved.

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   11/02/11 20:29

He and his campaign explained quite clearly that he was talking about nuclear NAVAL vessels that they are trying to develop--subs and carriers. Which, of course, "deliver" payloads. Awkward, but not wrong or dumb.

But hey, why should the "news" media get the news right? I mean, that went out with....Ben Franklin's press.

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   11/02/11 23:11

Yes sir officer. You have it exactly right, he and his campaign staff "quite clearly" restated, clarified, expanded and corrected the statement from the smartest CEO in the race. AGAIN. As they have on virtually every issue for the last two months or so. Perhaps you can hang up that cute little cop hat and get a job as an official "Cain Clarifier". Lord knows he needs a few more. And oh by the way. We simple folk do not rely on the news media to get our "news" or the "spin" right. We be smart enuf to figure that stuf out on our own. As you can see by my articulateness, I am a Perry supporter. Thank you again for your help in decoding the latest Cain statement.

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Corey12354
   11/02/11 16:56

LOL.. not serious?

After he wins Iowa you aren't going to keep saying he isn't serious are you?

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   11/02/11 12:24

Jennifer Rubin must by dying

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   11/02/11 12:33

While I'm pleased GOP voters haven't allowed the anti-Cain attack machine to influence their view of him, I do wonder why similar efforts have influenced their view of other GOP politicians.

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   11/02/11 12:38

The difficulty is that after every new gaffe the various intelligensia proclaim that now Mr Cain's campaign will begin to implode, after all he is just the extended flavor of the month.

And yet Mr Cain's campaign continues to do better in polling, do better in fund raising, and continue to move forward.

I wonder how long the campaign's positive polling and fund raising needs to continue before the powers that be acknowledge that whether they like it or not Mr Cain is not the flavor of the month, is in fact a serious candidate, and is in fact the leading candidate.

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   11/02/11 14:46

Amen. Wake up beltway. The country is surging behind Cain. It has been happening for months. My favorite so far:

Krystal Ball, Democratic candidate for Congress, and now "strategist" who lost her election and had racy facebook pictures released: "Stick a fork in him. He's done!"

Thanks intellectually deficient idiot who lost a campaign and now is a "strategist" and "expert" who will tell the rest of us how to think.

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Corey12354
   11/02/11 16:54

After he wins the nomination, will they change that to the flavor of the year?

What if we wins the presidency, can we say he is the flavor of the decade at that point?

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Gary McKinney
   11/02/11 17:21

So all it takes for the Republicans to nominate an inexperienced, incompetent moron with an attitude like Cain is to have the media point out the various incoherent things he has said (right of return, China nukes, abortion, etc., etc.), and report that his employer settled a sexual harassment claim for $35,000 that he at first seemed to know nothing about, and that makes them MORE likely to support him? Gee, why didn't they tell us sooner?

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   11/02/11 13:47

Yesterday's NRO poll was stunning. The controversy has moved support strongly into Cain's camp.

I wonder if Cain was sitting around late Saturday thinking, "We just need one more issue to push us over the top..." And then: sexual harassment, public explanations of height comparisons and soon we'll see Gloria Cain on Greta. Something tells me that wasn't what he was hoping for.

No matter how well it works to Herman Cain's advantage, I can guarantee two things: 1) he isn't enjoying that, and 2) future candidates (e.g., Paul Ryan) are taking note. Who wants to subject their families to that? External Link 

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   11/02/11 14:03

Herman Cain is my name, and I rode on the Pizza Train
Finding fortune and fame hawking mushroom, and sausage, and plain
In the winter of ’95 I was winning — I was bold and alive
I went back east to work for a spell
Then came a time I don’t remember too darn well. . .

External Link 

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   11/02/11 14:11

Not surprised at all that Cain has increased his lead after this or that his fundraising has sky-rocketed.

What shocks me is Rick Perry's truly awful numbers. Single digits in Iowa, South Carolina and nationwide. And his fundraising has fallen off a cliff as well.

The first contest is just 9 weeks away....

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   11/02/11 19:15

Rick Perry's problem, aside from stumbling in debates, is giving a GWB-style answer to the immigration problem, "You just don't care."

If you want to be absolutely sure no conservative will vote for you, accuse them of not caring, just like a liberal would.

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   11/02/11 16:07

I wonder how far Perry would be ahead if he had performed better in the debates? It sure looks like Obama will win in a cakewalk no matter the opponent.

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Corey12354
   11/02/11 16:51

LOL where do you come to that conclusion?

Did you miss the 9% unemployment, 4.9 trillion more in new debt in under 2 years.

The American people would be delusional to keep another 4 years of the Obama depression.

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