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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Grim Poll Numbers for GOP, Awful Ones for Gingrich



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Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart and Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conduct the NBC/Wall Street Journal survey, were just on with Chuck Todd on MSNBC’s Daily Rundown. They noted that in their latest poll, Barack Obama carries rural women — traditionally a Republican-leaning demographic — over Newt Gingrich.

South Carolina Republican women may be comfortable with Gingrich, but women elsewhere are not, it would seem.

In the MSNBC writeup on the poll, there is this ominous note:

“Gingrich is Goldwater,” said Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted the survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. “In the general election, Gingrich not only takes down his ship, he takes down the whole flotilla.”

There’s plenty of bad news for Republicans in the poll, as Romney does better, but not by a ton:

Women say they would vote for Obama over Gingrich by a wide 69-21 percent gap, far wider than the 54-38 percent difference by which Obama beats Romney. With independents, Gingrich gets just 28 percent against Obama, who wins with 52 percent. By contrast, Obama narrowly edges Romney with independents, 44 percent to 36 percent.


Tags: Mitt Romney , Newt Gingrich , Obama , Polling , Republicans


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