The latest Gallup poll among registered voters, not likely voters, has Unstoppable Shoo-in Incumbent President Obama 49 percent, Hopelessly Unelectable Challenger Rick Santorum 48 percent.
They also find No, Really, Call Off the Election Now President Obama 46 percent, Uninspiring Boring Out of Touch Rich Guy Mitt Romney 50 percent.
Somebody send those voters a memo detailing the media narrative.
Well, this is rather cherry-picking, since Gallup is O's worst poll by far, but there it is. I would contend that by the time Obama (Father of Lies?) and the media finish with Santorum there wouldn't be much left of him. All the comments that NRO is so anxious to cover up would get full exploration then.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseYeah.
Geraghty (and Ed Morrissey) keeps repeating this stupid trick all the time. Cherry pick the only poll which contains good news, post the result along with a snide remark or two. Realclearpolitics.com lists nine polls since February 12 and this is the only(!) one where Obama is trailing Romney.
BTW, these polls aren't very meaningful yet. Obama's current average job approval is currently 48 - 47 and improving. But a lot can happen in eight months.
MARCU$
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThe problem with Romney isn't that he's boring and uninspiring (though he is), but that his continuing support for Romneycare will make it extremely awkward for anyone to use Obamacare as a campaign issue if he is the nominee. Even if he wins, repeal will be virtually impossible since it won't have been a campaign issue. And his weak performance in a campaign where he has been able to routinely outspend his opponents by overwhelming margins doesn't inspire much confidence in his ability to defeat an opponent who is likely to have a large funding advantage.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseObama is very beatable. Just use a variation of "It's the Economy Stupid." He can be beaten and Rick Santorum is the best choice to beat him. Newt has too many negatives. Paul is being ignored by everyone and he is now Romney's pal. Romney gave us ObamaCare version 1 in Romney Care so he is a liberal. Rick Santorum can and will beat Obama in November is the GOP/RNC let voters decide.
Claiming Romney "won" Iowa and Maine when he lost, letting Romney pack debates with his lackeys and Paul and Romney working together is very obvious and reminds me of the Democrats tactics.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseOh, no, Mr Geraghty....you guys have wonderful candidates who are going to win in a landslide. Between the guy whose OWN PARTY hates him (Mitt) to the guy who thinks contraception is "dangerous" and promises to immediately go into Yet Another War In The Middle East as soon as he sworn in (Bishop Rick). The more the public learn about those guys, I'm sure the numbers will get even worse for President Obama.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseMore terrible polls for the GOP (both Romney and Santo) came out today. This primary process is killing the GOP, accept according to Gallup.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThere are millions being spent in negative attack ads in the "red-on-red" primaries. This is driving all the Republican candidate's unfavorable ratings up, though there is still a large % of the population that couldn't even name two of the Republican candidates.
Once the primary is settled, a lot of that money will suddenly become "red-on-blue" attack ads, and we should see Obama's unfavorables start to go up then.
Obama's having a bump up in the polls right now precisely because the focus is on Republican infighting. But that situation is not going to persist all the way until the election: if he's peaking now, he's peaking too early.
To safely win re-election, Obama needs to at least keep his numbers where they are now or better yet have them go up a few points. He can't afford to have them go any lower. I think $500 mil in attack ads from PAC's and 527's will make Obama more likely to go down than up.
He has made SO MANY unfulfilled promises, you'd think the ads would write themselves! I recommend a two-pronged strategy: attacks from the right (anti-bailout etc.) AND from the left (why is Gitmo still open?)
The "unicorns and rainbows" narrative the MSM likes to play just won't stand up in this rotten economy. But the counter message will have to be articulated through campaign ads, don't expect "the news" to help.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseOne thing is for certain: this poll will die a very quiet death in the MSM tonight.
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseThis poll has been out for days. I couldn't figure out why no one was reporting it. The only place I saw it was on Jennifer Rubin's blog. How is it that Geraghty doesn't have until now?
Reply to this commentLinkReport AbuseGood point Jim.
A point I have made over and over. Romney, Santorum, and Newt (leaving out Paul; he is not running a campaign to win the most delegates, rather a campaign to get a platform seat).
Now in fairness, Rasmussen had a terrible poll today, but that is based on a huge overnight for Obama, yesterday the gap between the two candidates was pretty close.
Here is the deal, the primary will come to an end, every Republican will rally around the winner. Period. The debate might get negative, but it wont be the same kind of negative. Sure Obama could question Romney's conservative credentials (good luck with that). And while he will call Santorum an extremist who hates woman, that charge will wane quickly in a national campaign, the fact that its out now is good.
Point being Obama is not in very good shape despite a slew of good news and Republicans killing each other in a very competitive primary. With citizen united case, Obama will no be able out spend seven dollars for every 5. Moreover, he won't control the airways. Obama is also not a blank slate, he has a record and he will have to defend it. This is what is so intriguing about Santorum...if its rick, he isn't going to be defensive about his record. Rick is not afraid of who he is, He isn't going to have to explain earmarks and supporting Specter. He is going to go full force against Obama. The question for him is whether he can connect with economic conservatives at the same time not turn them off. I believe its not as hard. Economic conservatives are not indoctrinated into the pro-abortion camp.
To put it simply. Santorum when talking social issues, needs to drop religion and attack them from the grounds of common sense. We know abortion is murder (he has that group locked up), but the argument to be made is why on earth would Obama support a law that would repeal a rule that required an abortion which survived be given medical attention. I guess Obama care doesn't cover those people. I find it uncomfortable that in a society where we tell children they are not mature enough to drink until they are 21 somehow they are mature enough to have a doctor perform an abortion without parental consent. In a country with freedom of religion how can we require any religion offer as part of its compensation package a service which would permit something which drives directly against that religion's teaching....and while we are at it.... since when does the government have any say in what insurance package an employer can and cannot offer its employees! SInce when did the Constitution require its government to tell employers what they can and cannot offer their employees...and when it comes to religious employers require them to provide funding for services like abortion.
On Social issues if Santorum can remove the theological passion and exchange it for common conservative passion, those issues become winning issues. He best take a look at how Reagan approached them.
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