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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

NBC Poll Shows Romney-Obama Tie in Iowa, Nevada, Colorado



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BOOM.

President Barack Obama and presumptive Republican nominee Mitt Romney are deadlocked in three key presidential battleground states, according to a new round of NBC-Marist polls.

In Iowa, the two rivals are tied at 44 percent among registered voters, including those who are undecided but leaning toward a candidate. Ten percent of voters in the Hawkeye State are completely undecided.

In Colorado, Obama gets support from 46 percent of registered voters, while Romney gets 45 percent.

And in Nevada, the president is at 48 percent and Romney is at 46 percent.

As discussed yesterday, if a Republican is tied among registered voters, he’s probably narrowly ahead (or perhaps not-so-narrowly ahead) among likely voters.

All three swing states looked better for President Obama recently. In the RealClearPolitics average, Obama leads in Iowa by 4 (but he led by 10 in the one head-to-head poll conducted this spring), led in Colorado by 5.6 percentage points, and led in Nevada by 7.4 percentage points (note only two head-to-head polls conducted this year).

Of course, this doesn’t mean Romney will win or even necessarily be close in November. But the Romney campaign must feel a bit reassured to see some light-blue swing states finally turning purple.


Tags: Barack Obama , Colorado , Iowa , Mitt Romney , Nevada


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