Walker, Paul, Rubio Lead New Poll of GOP Iowa Caucus-Goers

by Jim Geraghty

From the midweek Morning Jolt:

Walker, Paul, Rubio Lead New Poll of GOP Iowa Caucus-Goers

A new Quinnipiac poll out this morning, surveying likely Iowa caucus-goers:

Walker is at 21 percent of likely GOP caucus participants, compared to 25 percent in a February 25 poll . . . 

In the scramble for second place are U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida with 13 percent each, U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 12 percent and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee with 11 percent. Physician Ben Carson has 7 percent, with 5 percent for Jeb Bush. No other candidate is above 3 percent and 6 percent are undecided.

Not many surprises in there, and obviously there’s a lot of road ahead. Having said that, if they finished in that order on Caucus Night, it would be a nice burst of momentum for Walker, Paul, Rubio, and Cruz. For Huckabee, after winning Iowa in 2008, 11 percent would be a disappointment.

Somehow previous caucus winner Rick Santorum is at 2 percent! Also, if Bobby Jindal doesn’t move much beyond 1 percent, where’s his next stronghold? South Carolina? If you’re in that 5 percent–or–less category, should you put a lot of effort in Iowa in the next seven months or so?

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