The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Arlen Specter’s Comeback? I Still Think He’s Toomed


I generally think of Quinnipiac as reliable, but this poll out this morning really surprises me:

Pennsylvania U.S. Sen. Arlen Specter leads Democratic primary challenger, U.S. Rep. Joe Sestak 53 – 29 percent and has pushed ahead of Republican Pat Toomey 49 – 42 percent in a general election matchup, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today, up from a    44 – 44 percent tie December 18.  In a battle of the unknowns, Toomey leads Sestak 39 – 36 percent with 24 percent undecided.

President Barack Obama’s job approval rating in Pennsylvania remains below 50 percent, at 49 – 46 percent, the independent Quinnipiac University poll finds.

Fewer than one in five Pennsylvanians think the federal government in Washington, or the state government in Harrisburg, does the right thing almost all or most of the time.

“Sen. Arlen Specter seems to be having a good winter politically. He is back ahead of Republican Pat Toomey after having been essentially tied with him since last summer, and there remains no evidence that his primary challenger, Congressman Joe Sestak, has made much progress as we get within three months of the May primary,” said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.  “Specter’s lead over Toomey is built upon a 52 – 36 percent margin among women voters, while Toomey has a small 49 – 46 percent lead among men, an indication that the gender gap remains alive and well.

A lot of other polls had Toomey up, quite a few showing him up comfortably.

Tags: Barack Obama , Chris Dodd , Hillary Clinton , Horserace , Joe Biden , John Edwards , John McCain , Mitt Romney , Rudy Giuliani , Sarah Palin , Something Lighter , Tommy Thompson


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