The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.

Expecting A ‘Nailbiter’ In Pennsylvania’s 12th District


I’ll have a full wrap-up of how the special election in Pennsylvania went tomorrow morning, but checking around, I find Republicans very cautiously optimistic. The sense is that this is Tim Burns has run a good campaign and now has to overcome the tough demographics of the district; if turnout is low, Burns should win; if turnout is medium, it will be close; and if turnout is high, Democrat Mark Critz should win. The term “nailbiter” is being thrown around; the PPP poll, showing Burns up by one percentage point, is considered to be in the ballpark.

I’m told not to worry if the earliest returns, heavily from Johnstown, favor Critz; Washington County and the Pittsburgh suburbs should be better for Burns, but their results will probably be reported later in the evening.

Tags: Mark Critz , Tim Burns


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