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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.


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Tags: Joe Sestak

Our First Glimpse of the Morning Vote in Pennsylvania . . .

By Jim Geraghty
Okay, I’m posting this with the insistence that everybody understand this for what it is: An exit poll, conducted by a college-associated polling institute (Muhlenberg), done from 7 a.m. to . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Reason for Cautious Optimism in Pennsylvania

By Jim Geraghty
In yesterday’s Jolt, I told folks not to let their blood pressure rise as they watch tracking polls like the Morning Call’s ones in Pennsylvania. As Obi-Wan notes, in the . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

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Everyone Worried About Pat Toomey’s Lead Should Read This

By Jim Geraghty
For those who are worried about Pat Toomey’s sudden slip in the polls in Pennsylvania — and I was among them — you’ll want to read this analysis from “Number . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey, Tom Tancredo

Quinnipiac: Toomey Only Leads by Two

By Jim Geraghty
Quinnipiac offers new numbers in Pennsylvania: The race for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat is now a statistical dead heat with Republican Pat Toomey getting 48 percent of likely voters to 46 . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Bad News for Toomey, Good News for Portman

By Jim Geraghty
Panic! Panic! A second poll has Pat Toomey trailing in Pennsylvania! Democrat Sestak now leads Republican Toomey 44 percent to 41 percent with 15 percent undecided, a Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Tracker . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Lee Fisher, Pat Toomey, Rob Portman

Are Pennsylvania Democrats Suddenly Waking Up?

By Jim Geraghty
The sample in the last poll in Pennsylvania from Public Policy Polling before today: 46 percent Democrat, 44 percent Republican, 9 percent independent/other. The sample in the new poll in Pennsylvania . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Pennsylvania: The DSCC’s $9 Million Botched Investment

By Jim Geraghty
This is amazing: The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has invested more than $4.7 million in the Keystone State to date, not including the nearly $1.2 million it spent on Sen. Arlen . . .

Tags: DSCC, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

In New York, GOP’s Paladino Trails Cuomo by Only 6? Only 6?!?

By Jim Geraghty
Two shockers from Quinnipiac this morning, each one making the other a wee bit suspect. In Pennsylvania:  Republican Pat Toomey has hit the magic 50 percent mark as he leads Democratic U.S. . . .

Tags: Andrew Cuomo, Carl Paladino, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Toomsday Cometh Ever Closer

By Jim Geraghty
TOOMSDAY! “Pat Toomey (R) leads Rep. Joe Sestak (D) by 9 points, 45 percent to 36 percent with 19 percent undecided.” . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Pat Toomey, Raising Funds in Response to Obama’s Visit

By Jim Geraghty
President Obama is campaigning/fundraising in Philadelphia today for Joe Sestak. The Pat Toomey campaign is responding with an online fundraising effort of their own to raise $20,000 today online; they’re . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

TOOMSDAY!

By Jim Geraghty
A margin of nine percentage points is a “slight lead”? Come on, AP. Live a little! A new poll shows Republican Pat Toomey slightly ahead of Democrat Joe Sestak in their . . .

Tags: Blanche Lincoln, Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Latest PPP Poll Spells Toomsday for Sestak

By Jim Geraghty
I’ve given Public Policy Polling some grief about their polls, contending that because they don’t weight for party, many of their polls this year have presumed a throughly unrealistic level . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey, PPP

The Toomsday Clock Ticks . . . and Ticks . . . and Ticks . . .

By Jim Geraghty
Rasmussen puts Toomey up 6 over Sestak. Perhaps the most eye-opening figure in the poll? Twenty-seven percent see Toomey’s views as “extreme,” while 39 percent see Sestak the same way. Also: Support for . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Will Democrats Accept the DSCC Spending Bucks to Save Barbara Boxer?

By Jim Geraghty
Over in Politico it is written: Most people agree that [California Sen. Barbara] Boxer, despite her fundraising prowess and deep network of donors, will require an infusion of DSCC cash. Her . . .

Tags: Barbara Boxer, Carly Fiorina, Joe Sestak, Lee Fisher, Pat Toomey, Rob Portman

Some Curious Numbers Out of Pennsylvania . . .

By Jim Geraghty
Quinnipiac has Pennsylvania’s Senate race a 43–43 tie between Pat Toomey and Joe Sestak. Curiously, “In today’s results, Democrats back Sestak 77 – 11 percent while Republicans go with Toomey 82 . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Set Your Toomsday Clock One Quarter Ahead

By Jim Geraghty
The Democrats’ chances of keeping Arlen Specter’s Senate seat are looking grimmer with Sestak’s fundraising challenges. You might even say they’re Toomed: “U.S. Senate candidate and former small business owner . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

The Toomsday Clock Ticks Ever Louder as November Approaches . . .

By Jim Geraghty
Rasmussen finds Republican Pat Toomey ahead of Democrat Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania’s Senate race, 45 percent to 39 percent. I’m sure that there are some folks out there who are skeptical . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

“Smells a Little”: The AP’s Faith in Obama Reaches Its Expiration Date

By Jim Geraghty
Can you believe this is the Associated Press? Barack Obama, being from Chicago, knows there are two basic ways to play foul in politics. One is to break the law. The . . .

Tags: Andrew Romanoff, Barack Obama, Joe Sestak

The Toomsday Clock Ticks Louder

By Jim Geraghty
I’m already hearing lefties insist these new numbers from Rasmussen can’t possibly be accurate: Congressman Joe Sestak’s post-primary bounce appears to over, and he now trails Republican rival Pat Toomey by . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

Denver Post: We’re Skeptical of Politicians Who Refuse to Answer Questions

By Jim Geraghty
The Denver Post concludes that rumors in their state’s Senate race are a little too close for comfort to the tale of Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania: In Pennsylvania, the administration has . . .

Tags: Andrew Romanoff, Joe Sestak, Michael Bennet

How Did Richard Blumenthal Not End Up Making a Trip to Haiti?

By Jim Geraghty
Back in January, when Haiti was enduring the immediate crisis of the earthquake, former president Bill Clinton — i.e., the United Nations’ special envoy to Haiti — took time to . . .

Tags: Bill Clinton, Joe Sestak, John Edwards

They Could Have Picked Up a Newspaper

By Jim Geraghty
The story from the White House is that they simply sent Bill Clinton to see if Joe Sestak was serious about running for Senate. Well, buzz about him as a possible . . .

Tags: Arlen Specter, Bill Clinton, Joe Sestak

The ‘Bribe Sestak’ Suspect List Can’t Be That Long

By Jim Geraghty
From the Monday edition of Morning Jolt: When Toomey Wins, He’ll Wish He Ses-took That Offer Politico: “Rep. Joe Sestak, winner of the Pennsylvania Democratic Senate primary, is refusing to provide more information . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Joe Sestak

“I Don’t Have Anything to Add to That” = “You Caught Us”

By Jim Geraghty
Let me offer an interpretation of Robert Gibbs being even less capable of answering a simple question than usual: If the White House had not offered Joe Sestak a job . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Robert Gibbs

Specter Can Avoid His Toomsday, but Sestak Is Still Toomed

By Jim Geraghty
Toomeyworld isn’t too worried about a poll showing their man trailing by a bit in the general election against Sestak. The sense is, with $5 million in ads in the past . . .

Tags: Joe Sestak, Pat Toomey

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