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The Campaign Spot

Election-driven news and views . . . by Jim Geraghty.


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Tags: Polling

Public Likes XL Pipeline and Birth-Control Requirements

By Jim Geraghty
Two other lopsided results in the latest Fox News poll: By a 67-25 percent margin, voters support building the Keystone XL pipeline. That includes: 87 percent of Republicans, 69 percent of . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

Grim Poll Numbers for GOP, Awful Ones for Gingrich

By Jim Geraghty
Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart and Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conduct the NBC/Wall Street Journal survey, were just on with Chuck Todd on MSNBC’s Daily Rundown. They noted that . . .

Tags: Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Obama, Polling, Republicans

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Romney, the Weak Frontrunner Who Leads Everywhere

By Jim Geraghty
Mitt Romney’s rivals took aim at him in the Sunday-morning debate, but it’s hard to see a scenario where he loses all of his currently gargantuan lead in New Hampshire: . . .

Tags: Florida, Mitt Romney, Nevada, Polling, South Carolina

Gallup: America Has Never Had More Independents

By Jim Geraghty
File this away when contemplating the sample of future nationwide polls: The percentage of Americans identifying as political independents increased in 2011, as is common in a non-election year, although the . . .

Tags: Gallup, Party Identification, Polling

CNN: Americans Largely ‘Meh’ on Occupy Wall Street

By Jim Geraghty
The numbers on Occupy Wall Street haven’t moved much since their debut. Neither is familiarity breeding contempt nor is the country warming to their cries. Rasmussen Reports, October 5: “Thirty-three percent . . .

Tags: Occupy Wall Street, Polling

Independents’ Disapproval of Obama Intensifies

By Jim Geraghty
A new Angus Reid Public Opinion poll finds Obama’s approval rating unchanged at 40 percent, and adds, “among Independents, the level of strong disapproval for the American president outranks the . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

Occupy Wall Street, Wrecking Obama’s Needed ‘Recovery’ Narrative

By Jim Geraghty
As Sen. Harry Reid declares that private-sector job growth is doing “just fine,” the AP poll finds that the percentage of Americans who describe the economy as “very poor” has . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Economic Collapse, Occupy Wall Street, Polling

Two New Surveys Show Obama in Trouble With Latinos, Swing States

By Jim Geraghty
I don’t think either of the survey results cited in Mike Allen’s Politico newsletter are really that surprising, considering the state of the economy, etc., but he calls them “sobering” . . .

Tags: 2012, Obama, Polling

In Florida, Obama’s Job Disapproval Hits 57%

By Jim Geraghty
Quinnipiac unveils a survey from Florida this morning that has good news for Rick Perry, ominous news for President Obama, and some frustrating news for Republican hopes in that state’s . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Florida, Mitt Romney, Polling, Rick Perry

Survey: No Rush on Obama’s Jobs Bill

By Jim Geraghty
Public Opinion Strategies looks at its latest numbers and contends Obama’s sales pitch for his jobs plan and tax hikes just isn’t working: Since President Obama has been out there campaigning . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

Resurgent Republic Poll: 60% Say Obama Weaker Than Expected

By Jim Geraghty
The latest national survey from Resurgent Republic is revealed. Ed Gillespie, a former RNC chairman, said the result that jumped out the most to him was that 60 percent of respondents . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling, Resurgent Republic

Wall Street Journal: Yeah, More Bad Polls for Obama

By Jim Geraghty
If President Obama and his supporters thought today’s Washington Post poll was excessively gloomy about his reelection prospects, today’s Wall Street Journal poll doesn’t offer much sunshine, either. Once again, Obama’s approval . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Polling, Rick Perry

New Washington Post Poll: Yeah, It’s All Bad News for Obama

By Jim Geraghty
Welcome back from Labor Day weekend, Mr. President: Public pessimism about the direction of the country has jumped to its highest level in nearly three years, erasing the sense of hope . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

Obama Disapproval Hits All-Time High; CNN Writes Boring Headline

By Jim Geraghty
CNN reports: CNN Poll: Obama approval rating remains steady in mid 40′s Washington (CNN) - As President Barack Obama stood before cameras Monday afternoon to offer a reassuring assessment of the nation’s economy, . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

Gallup Finds Obama In Worst Shape Yet

By Jim Geraghty
When the sky falls, it falls for everybody. Obama’s approval rating in Gallup today is at its lowest, 40 percent; his disapproval is 50 percent. . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

The Recovery Summer Sequel Is Even Worse Than The Original

By Jim Geraghty
Gallup finds similar numbers to the Washington Post this morning: “Fifty-one percent of Americans rated current economic conditions “poor” over the weekend. This is up from 43% in early July, . . .

Tags: Polling

For a Day When Domestic Politics Feels More Relevant . . .

By Jim Geraghty
With horrific events unfolding in Norway, the usual back-and-forth and who’s up and who’s down in American politics seems petty and small today. File this away for early next week, . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, John Boehner, Polling

Why Are News Organizations Touting Polls of Adults?

By Jim Geraghty
ABC News, with the egregious polling spin of the day, with the easily overlooked details in bold: President Obama is holding onto a 7 point lead over his chief Republican rival, . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Polling

Psst! Obama’s Poll Numbers Have Been Underwater for Weeks Now.

By Jim Geraghty
Shhh! I think we’re not supposed to tell anyone this, since most of the mainstream media seems to be treating it like top-secret classified information, kept far away from the . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

Marist: Oh, By the Way, Obama Approval Is Still Underwater

By Jim Geraghty
Going through Marist’s poll, there’s a lot of interesting stuff that the survey release writers put several paragraphs down after beginning with: President Barack Obama met with Senate leaders yesterday to . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

Surprise! More Republicans Are ‘Extremely Enthusiastic’ About 2012 Vote.

By Jim Geraghty
Easily-overlooked points in the latest CNN poll: The survey finds 26 percent of registered Democrats “extremely enthusiastic” about voting in the 2012 presidential election; 38 percent of registered Republicans describe themselves . . .

Tags: 2012, Barack Obama, Polling

CNN: 48% Foresee Great Depression in Coming Year

By Jim Geraghty
The results in the CNN poll out today aren’t quite as ominous for President Obama as yesterday’s ABC News/Washington Post survey, but that’s not saying much. Obama splits evenly, with 48-48 . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling

17% of Tea Party Supporters Approve of Obama?

By Jim Geraghty
Today’s CNN poll is a useful reminder that survey respondents can be… strange sometimes. Say, how do you think Republicans feel about the way Obama is handing gas prices? You . . .

Tags: Barack Obama, Polling, Tea Parties

Coming Soon to a Race Near You: The Balanced Budget Amendment?

By Jim Geraghty
One can argue that to many Americans, a “Balanced Budget Amendment” is a pain-free way to balance the budget, and that they underestimate the scale of cuts or tax hikes . . .

Tags: Polling

Gallup’s New Numbers: Romney, Palin Remain Frontrunners

By Jim Geraghty
Gallup has finally conducted another national survey of GOP presidential-campaign preferences, after the announcements from Donald Trump, Mike Huckabee, and Mitch Daniels. Mitt Romney (17%) and Sarah Palin (15%) now lead . . .

Tags: GOP, Polling

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